The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alianza Lima 65.9%
Universidad de San Martín de Porres 34.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.6%
61.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.4%
58.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+27.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alianza Lima's performance.
Universidad de San Martín de Porres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-27.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universidad de San Martín de Porres might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-24.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianza Lima that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de San Martín de Porres than the current prediction. (+24.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad de San Martín de Porres could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alianza Lima - Universidad de San Martín de Porres Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0
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Preview
Series tied 1-1. Third leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 4.
Alianza Lima is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Uni de San Martín has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Alianza Lima could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 44:36. (average 2.2:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Lima won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1.8:2.2).
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