Match Info

Nations League Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: East Asian Games Dome (Macao)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Extra 2
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Ukraine	Suspilne Sport


	Brazil W		Japan W

	1	2
	1.62	2.2
	1.58	2.15
	1.57	2.44
	1.58	2.21	Watch
	1.55	2.42
	1.62	2.17	Watch
	1.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.61)	2.26 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 182.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brazil W
58.7%

Japan W
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brazil W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Japan W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brazil W than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brazil W that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Japan W than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Japan W could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Brazil W - Japan W Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Brazil will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Japan will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brazil: 50.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Japan (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Japan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups


14. Ana Cristina	26. Akimoto M.
17. Bergmann	12. Fukudome S.
26. Besen L.	4. Ishikawa M. (C)
2. Diana	9. Iwasawa M.
15. Helena	22. Kitamado A.
16. Kisy	8. Kojima M.
4. Lorena	7. Sakae E.
11. Luzia	5. Sato Y.
3. Macris (C)	6. Seki N.
20. Maiara	16. Shigihara H.
22. Marcelle	3. Shimamura H.
5. Natinha	1. Wada Y.
9. Roberta	11. Yamada N.
7. Rosamaria	13. Yamaguchi M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brazil won 5.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Brazil could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brazil won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 55:29. (average 2.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brazil W volleyball
Nations League Volleyball Women
11.07.26	USA W - Brazil W	3:0 ✺
11.07.26	Thailand W - Brazil W	3:0 ✺
10.07.26	Poland W - Brazil W	1:3 ✺
08.07.26	Japan W - Brazil W	1:3 ✺
21.06.26	Germany W - Brazil W	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWWL
- Japan W volleyball
Nations League Volleyball Women
12.07.26	Japan W - Poland W	3:2 ✺
11.07.26	Japan W - Turkey W	1:3 ✺
09.07.26	Japan W - Thailand W	3:1 ✺
08.07.26	Japan W - Brazil W	1:3 ✺
21.06.26	Japan W - Italy W	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Nations League Volleyball Women
08.07.26	Japan W - Brazil W	1:3
World Championship Volleyball Women
07.09.25	Japan W - Brazil W	2:3
Nations League Volleyball Women
26.07.25	Brazil W - Japan W	3:2
13.07.25	Japan W - Brazil W	0:3
Olympic Games - Volleyball Women
01.08.24	Brazil W - Japan W	3:0
Nations League Volleyball Women
22.06.24	Brazil W - Japan W	2:3
28.05.24	Brazil W - Japan W	3:2

Brazil W - Japan W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide