The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bursa Nilüfer Belediyesi 41.9%
Aras Kargo 58.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50%
50%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.5%
45.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bursa Nilüfer Belediyesi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bursa Nilüfer Belediyesi's form might have worsened.
Aras Kargo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aras Kargo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bursa Nilüfer Belediyesi than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bursa Nilüfer Belediyesi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aras Kargo than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aras Kargo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Bursa Nilüfer Belediyesi - Aras Kargo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3
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Preview
First leg.
Nilüfer Belediyesi is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Aras Kargo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nilüfer Belediyesi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 1.6:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Nilüfer Belediyesi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 2.5:2.5).
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