Match Info

Nations League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Beilun Gymnasium (Ningbo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Extra 2
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	STVR Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Turkey	S Sport
Ukraine	Suspilne Sport


	Italy		USA

	1	2
	1.73	2.00
	1.68	2.02
	1.67	2.23
	1.56	2.36	Watch
	1.60	2.25
	1.68	2.29	Watch
	1.69	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.68)	2.18 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 185.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Italy
56.8%

USA
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

USA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Italy than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Italy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USA than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that USA could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Italy - USA Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Italy will win (votes: 3 - 50%). USA will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Italy (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups


7. Balaso F.	1. Anderson M.
12. Bottolo M.	13. Averill T.
23. Bovolenta A.	3. Briggs M.
14. Galassi G.	20. Champlin E.
6. Giannelli S. (C)	11. Christenson M. (C)
4. Laurenzano G.	8. Defalco T.
15. Lavia D.	17. Hanes J.
20. Mati P.	18. Hartke C.
17. Porro L.	4. Jendryk II J.
16. Romano Y.	26. Knigge M.
19. Russo R.	14. Ma'a M.
18. Sanguinetti G.	24. McHenry M.
9. Sani F.	6. Robinson C.
8. Sbertoli R.	22. Shoji E.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Italy won 3.

Italy is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

USA has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

USA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Italy won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 34:38. (average 1.7:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Italy volleyball
Nations League Volleyball
19.07.26	Cuba - Italy	1:3 ✺
18.07.26	Argentina - Italy	0:3 ✺
16.07.26	Belgium - Italy	0:3 ✺
Nations League Volleyball Women
15.07.26	Japan - Italy	3:2 ✺
Friendly International Volleyball
05.07.26	Italy - Argentina	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWWLW
- USA volleyball
Nations League Volleyball Women
19.07.26	USA - Poland	0:3 ✺
18.07.26	USA - Bulgaria	1:3 ✺
Nations League Volleyball
16.07.26	USA - Brazil	3:0 ✺
15.07.26	USA - China	3:0 ✺
Nations League Volleyball Women
28.06.26	Serbia - USA	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Nations League Volleyball
14.06.26	USA - Italy	2:3
29.06.25	USA - Italy	0:3
Olympic Games - Volleyball
09.08.24	Italy - USA	0:3
Nations League Volleyball
06.06.24	USA - Italy	0:3
22.07.23	USA - Italy	3:0
08.06.23	Italy - USA	0:3
15.06.21	Italy - USA	0:3

Italy - USA: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide