Match Info

Campeonato Nacional - Round 5

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sporting TV


	Sporting Lisbon		Castêlo da Maia

	1	2
	1.02	7
	1.05	10.31
	1.03	5.87
	1.04	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 (1.04)	7.92 ↑ (5.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 132.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
88.4%

Castêlo da Maia
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

84.5%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Castêlo da Maia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Sporting Lisbon - Castêlo da Maia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 5.

In this match, Sporting is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 19 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 57:14. (average 2.9:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 30:2. (average 3:0.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Sporting Lisbon - the odds 1.04 are the expected chance of winning is 84.48%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon Volleyball
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional Volleyball
08.11.25	Sporting Lisbon - Santo Tirso	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Benfica - Sporting Lisbon	0:3 ✺
01.11.25	Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria Guimarães	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	Leixões - Sporting Lisbon	3:2 ✺
07.05.25	Benfica - Sporting Lisbon	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWLW
- Castêlo da Maia GC
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional Volleyball
09.11.25	Castêlo da Maia - Clube K	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Gondomar - Castêlo da Maia	3:2 ✺
01.11.25	Castêlo da Maia - Mamede	1:3 ✺
25.10.25	Madalena - Castêlo da Maia	2:3 ✺
25.04.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Castêlo da Maia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Campeonato Nacional Volleyball
15.02.25	Castêlo da Maia - Sporting Lisbon	2:3
24.11.24	Sporting Lisbon - Castêlo da Maia	3:1
09.03.24	Castêlo da Maia - Sporting Lisbon	0:3
03.02.24	Sporting Lisbon - Castêlo da Maia	3:0
29.10.23	Castêlo da Maia - Sporting Lisbon	0:3
26.02.23	Sporting Lisbon - Castêlo da Maia	3:1
17.12.22	Castêlo da Maia - Sporting Lisbon	2:3

Sporting Lisbon - Castêlo da Maia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide