Match Info

PlusLiga - Round 25

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Ergo Arena (Gdansk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Extra 2


	Trefl Gdańsk		Jastrzębski Węgiel

	1	2
	1.5	2.5
	1.42	2.5
	1.45	2.62	Watch
	1.44	2.63
	1.44	2.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.34)	2.57 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 184.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trefl Gdańsk
63.9%

Jastrzębski Węgiel
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trefl Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Jastrzębski Węgiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trefl Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jastrzębski Węgiel than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Trefl Gdańsk - Jastrzębski Węgiel Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Gdańsk will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gdańsk won 1.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Gdańsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gdańsk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gdańsk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 18 matches, and goals 14:58. (average 0.7:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Gdańsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 1.1:2.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trefl Gdańsk
Polish PlusLiga
01.03.26	Skra Bełchatów - Trefl Gdańsk	3:1 ✺
25.02.26	Trefl Gdańsk - Chełm	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Warta Zawiercie - Trefl Gdańsk	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	ZAKSA Kędzierzyn-Koźle - Trefl Gdańsk	3:2 ✺
01.02.26	Trefl Gdańsk - Projekt Warszawa	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL
- Jastrzębski Węgiel
Polish PlusLiga
26.02.26	Jastrzębski Węgiel - Kazhany Lviv	1:3 ✺
21.02.26	Norwid Częstochowa - Jastrzębski Węgiel	3:1 ✺
CEV Cup
18.02.26	Pallavolo Piacenza - Jastrzębski Węgiel	3:1 ✺
Polish PlusLiga
13.02.26	Jastrzębski Węgiel - Skra Bełchatów	3:1 ✺
CEV Cup
10.02.26	Jastrzębski Węgiel - Pallavolo Piacenza	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish PlusLiga
16.12.25	Jastrzębski Węgiel - Trefl Gdańsk	3:1
02.02.25	Trefl Gdańsk - Jastrzębski Węgiel	1:3
23.10.24	Jastrzębski Węgiel - Trefl Gdańsk	3:1
09.03.24	Trefl Gdańsk - Jastrzębski Węgiel	3:2
Polish Cup Volleyball
14.02.24	Jastrzębski Węgiel - Trefl Gdańsk	3:0
Polish PlusLiga
05.12.23	Jastrzębski Węgiel - Trefl Gdańsk	3:0
12.04.23	Trefl Gdańsk - Jastrzębski Węgiel	1:3

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