Match Info

WORLD: Olympic Games

Date: 30 July 2024, Tuesday

Location: Aquatics Centre (Paris - Saint-Denis)

Where to Watch on TV:


International	Max


	Croatia		Italy

	1	X	2
	2.55	6.5	1.85
	2.45	6.9	1.87	Watch
	2.45	6.5	1.91
	2.54	5.85	1.92
	2.47	6.6	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.47)	6.47 ↑ (6.3)	1.88 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Croatia
36.9%

Draw
14.2%

Italy
48.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.3%

14.6%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

15%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Croatia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Croatia than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Italy than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Croatia - Italy Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Italy will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 11:11

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Croatia won 3.

Recent matches Croatia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Italy is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Croatia won 11 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 196-188.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Croatia water polo
Olympic Games - Water polo
28.07.24	Croatia - Montenegro	11:8 ✺
Friendly International Water Polo
19.07.24	Croatia - USA	11:13 ✺
06.07.24	Italy - Croatia	8:9 ✺
05.07.24	Croatia - Greece	8:7 ✺
04.07.24	Spain - Croatia	12:11 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWL
- Italy water polo
Olympic Games - Water polo
28.07.24	Italy - USA	12:8 ✺
Friendly International Water Polo
19.07.24	Italy - Hungary	8:10 ✺
13.07.24	Italy - France	10:7 ✺
12.07.24	Hungary - Italy	11:13 ✺
11.07.24	Italy - Japan	13:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Water Polo
06.07.24	Italy - Croatia	8:9
World Championship Water Polo
17.02.24	Italy - Croatia	13:14 penalties
World Cup Water Polo
11.03.23	Italy - Croatia	14:13
European Championship Water Polo
08.09.22	Italy - Croatia	10:11
Friendly International Water Polo
22.08.22	Italy - Croatia	12:9
09.08.22	Croatia - Italy	11:12
World League Water Polo
28.04.22	Croatia - Italy	6:8

Croatia - Italy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide