Match Info

World Championship - 5th-8th places - 7th place

Date: 24 July 2025, Thursday


	Italy		USA

	1	X	2
	1.46	7.2	3.6
				Watch
	1.4	7.5	3.6
	1.42	7.1	4.15	Watch
	1.47	6.8	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.48)	7.15 ↓ (7.45)	3.8 ↑ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Italy
63.3%

Draw
12.7%

USA
24%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.8%

12.3%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

12.2%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

USA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Italy than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USA than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Italy - USA Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Italy (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 14:11

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Italy won 5.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Italy is seen as the favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Italy won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 152:138. (average 10.9:9.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Italy water polo
World Championship Water Polo
22.07.25	Italy - Montenegro	8:12 ✺
20.07.25	Italy - Greece	11:17 ✺
16.07.25	Italy - South Africa	28:4
14.07.25	Italy - Serbia	17:16 penalties ✺
12.07.25	Romania - Italy	5:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWWW
- USA water polo
World Championship Water Polo
22.07.25	USA - Croatia	9:14 ✺
20.07.25	USA - Serbia	9:14 ✺
16.07.25	Singapore - USA	6:25 ✺
13.07.25	USA - Brazil	16:7 ✺
11.07.25	Canada - USA	9:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Olympic Games - Water polo
28.07.24	Italy - USA	12:8
World Championship Water Polo
11.02.24	USA - Italy	12:13
World Cup Water Polo
01.07.23	Italy - USA	15:12
14.03.23	Italy - USA	16:10
World League Water Polo
27.07.22	USA - Italy	9:13
24.07.22	Italy - USA	9:13
Olympic Games - Water polo
06.08.21	Italy - USA	6:7

Italy - USA: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Italy - USA Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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