Match Info

World Cup - 5th-8th places - Semi-finals

Date: 24 July 2026, Friday


	Spain		Croatia

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Spain
80.8%

Draw
7.8%

Croatia
11.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

78.5%

8.3%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Croatia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 17:11

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In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spain won 4.

In this match, Spain is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Spain won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 207:176. (average 10.4:8.8).

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spain water polo
World Cup Water Polo
23.07.26	Spain - Australia	21:23 penalties ✺
12.04.26	Spain - Greece	13:15 penalties ✺
11.04.26	Italy - Spain	12:16 ✺
09.04.26	Hungary - Spain	14:15 penalties ✺
08.04.26	Spain - USA	15:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWWW
- Croatia water polo
World Cup Water Polo
23.07.26	Hungary - Croatia	16:11 ✺
12.04.26	Serbia - Croatia	6:11 ✺
11.04.26	Croatia - USA	18:12 ✺
09.04.26	Croatia - Netherlands	12:8 ✺
08.04.26	Italy - Croatia	13:11 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWWL

World Cup Water Polo
07.04.26	Spain - Croatia	14:10
European Championship Water Polo
22.01.26	Spain - Croatia	17:9
World Cup Water Polo
12.04.25	Spain - Croatia	19:14
10.01.25	Croatia - Spain	14:15
Olympic Games - Water polo
07.08.24	Croatia - Spain	10:8
Friendly International Water Polo
04.07.24	Spain - Croatia	12:11
World Championship Water Polo
07.02.24	Spain - Croatia	10:6

Spain - Croatia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide