Match Info

A1 - Round 20

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Florentia		Trieste

	1	X	2
	7.04	9.84	1.19
	5	8	1.27
	5.96	8.7	1.23
	6.75	9	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.19 ↓ (6.75)	8.89 ↓ (9)	1.22 ↑ (1.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 27.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Florentia
14.8%

Draw
10.3%

Trieste
74.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

13.6%

10.2%

76.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Florentia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Trieste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Florentia - Trieste Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 12:17

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Florentia won 0.

Florentia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Trieste has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Trieste is the obvious favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Florentia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 86:92. (average 10.8:11.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Florentia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 33:29. (average 11:9.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Trieste	2	2	0	0	41:32	6

Outrights of Italian A1 Water Polo for now

Trieste: 2.7%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RN Florentia
Italian A1 Water Polo
14.03.26	Rari Nantes Salerno - Florentia	14:11 penalties ✺
07.03.26	Florentia - Brescia	11:22
27.02.26	Olympic Roma - Florentia	9:10 ✺
21.02.26	Florentia - Roma Vis Nova	10:15 ✺
14.02.26	Ortigia - Florentia	15:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LLWLL
- Trieste Pallanuoto
Italian A1 Water Polo
14.03.26	Trieste - Quinto	21:20 penalties ✺
07.03.26	Telimar Palermo - Trieste	21:20 penalties ✺
28.02.26	Trieste - Posillipo	15:9 ✺
21.02.26	Napoli - Trieste	6:13 ✺
15.02.26	Trieste - Pro Recco	11:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian A1 Water Polo
08.11.25	Trieste - Florentia	17:11
19.04.25	Florentia - Trieste	7:14
18.01.25	Trieste - Florentia	15:8
27.11.19	Trieste - Florentia	13:9
13.04.19	Trieste - Florentia	12:10
15.12.18	Florentia - Trieste	13:9
28.03.18	Florentia - Trieste	13:6

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