Match Info

World Cup - Semi-finals

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	ERT 2


	Italy		Greece

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Italy
35.3%

Draw
14.2%

Greece
50.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.9%

11.9%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Greece has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Greece might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Italy will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 12:14

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In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Italy won 1.

Greece will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Italy won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 201:188. (average 10.1:9.4).

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Italy water polo
World Cup Water Polo
23.07.26	Italy - Georgia	18:12 ✺
12.04.26	Hungary - Italy	9:12 ✺
11.04.26	Italy - Spain	12:16 ✺
09.04.26	Italy - Greece	16:14 ✺
08.04.26	Italy - Croatia	13:11 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLWW
- Greece water polo
World Cup Water Polo
23.07.26	Greece - Montenegro	14:13 ✺
12.04.26	Spain - Greece	13:15 penalties ✺
11.04.26	Hungary - Greece	10:16 ✺
09.04.26	Italy - Greece	16:14 ✺
08.04.26	Netherlands - Greece	11:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWLW

World Cup Water Polo
09.04.26	Italy - Greece	16:14
European Championship Water Polo
25.01.26	Italy - Greece	5:12
19.01.26	Greece - Italy	15:13
World Championship Water Polo
20.07.25	Italy - Greece	11:17
Olympic Games - Water polo
05.08.24	Greece - Italy	9:8
Friendly International Water Polo
04.07.24	Italy - Greece	13:12
World Championship Water Polo
13.02.24	Greece - Italy	10:11

Italy - Greece: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide