Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - Division 1 - Second stage

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	ERT 2


	Spain		Greece

	1	X	2
	1.89	6.83	2.47
	1.93	6.2	2.3
	2.03	7.45	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.94)	6.83 ↑ (6.83)	2.37 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 24.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spain
47.5%

Draw
13.6%

Greece
39%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.7%

13.5%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

14.7%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Greece has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spain than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greece than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spain won 4.

Spain is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Greece has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Spain won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 158:142. (average 8.3:7.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spain water polo
World Cup Water Polo
11.04.26	Italy - Spain	12:16 ✺
09.04.26	Hungary - Spain	14:15 penalties ✺
08.04.26	Spain - USA	15:8 ✺
07.04.26	Spain - Croatia	14:10 ✺
06.04.26	Italy - Spain	12:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWL
- Greece water polo
World Cup Water Polo
11.04.26	Hungary - Greece	10:16 ✺
09.04.26	Italy - Greece	16:14 ✺
08.04.26	Netherlands - Greece	11:14 ✺
07.04.26	Greece - Serbia	16:15 ✺
06.04.26	Hungary - Greece	13:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Water Polo
22.07.25	Greece - Spain	9:11 penalties
World Cup Water Polo
13.04.25	Spain - Greece	16:14
Olympic Games - Water polo
11.08.24	Greece - Spain	15:13
Friendly International Water Polo
06.07.24	Greece - Spain	9:16
World Cup Water Polo
08.03.23	Greece - Spain	8:11
European Championship Water Polo
06.09.22	Spain - Greece	9:5
World League Water Polo
09.01.21	Greece - Spain	12:11

Spain - Greece: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Preview

Form

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