Match Info

Mediterranean Games

Date: 1 September 2026, Tuesday


	Italy		Spain

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Italy
70.5%

Draw
10.1%

Spain
19.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

74.1%

9.6%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Italy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Spain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 15:11

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In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Italy won 2.

Italy is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Spain is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Italy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Italy is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Italy won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 161:184. (average 8.1:9.2).

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Italy water polo
Mediterranean Games Water Polo
30.08.26	Italy - France	15:6 ✺
29.08.26	Turkey - Italy	7:25 ✺
28.08.26	Italy - Bosnia and Herzegovina	38:4
World Cup Water Polo
26.07.26	Australia - Italy	10:16 ✺
25.07.26	Italy - Greece	9:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWL
- Spain water polo
Mediterranean Games Water Polo
31.08.26	Spain - France	16:10 ✺
30.08.26	Bosnia and Herzegovina - Spain	3:33
28.08.26	Turkey - Spain	9:15 ✺
World Cup Water Polo
25.07.26	Spain - Montenegro	17:16 penalties ✺
24.07.26	Spain - Croatia	18:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWW

World Cup Water Polo
11.04.26	Italy - Spain	12:16
06.04.26	Italy - Spain	12:10
Olympic Games - Water polo
09.08.24	Italy - Spain	9:11
Friendly International Water Polo
05.07.24	Spain - Italy	10:5
World Championship Water Polo
15.02.24	Spain - Italy	6:8
European Championship Water Polo
14.01.24	Spain - Italy	7:4
World Cup Water Polo
02.07.23	Spain - Italy	10:4

Italy - Spain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide