Match Info

World Cup Women - Qualification - Division 1 - Winners stage

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday


	Italy W		USA W

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Italy W
11.6%

Draw
8.7%

USA W
79.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

10.7%

7.4%

81.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Italy W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

USA W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. USA will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 9:14

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In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Italy won 2.

Recent performances by Italy have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

USA is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, USA is the clear favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Italy won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 94:134. (average 7.2:10.3).

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Italy W water polo
World Cup Water Polo Women
05.05.26	Netherlands W - Italy W	12:2 ✺
04.05.26	Spain W - Italy W	14:12 ✺
03.05.26	Italy W - Netherlands W	12:10 ✺
02.05.26	Australia W - Italy W	14:15 penalties ✺
01.05.26	Italy W - Greece W	11:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 LLWWL
- USA W water polo
World Cup Water Polo Women
05.05.26	Spain W - USA W	5:7 ✺
04.05.26	Netherlands W - USA W	10:12 ✺
03.05.26	USA W - Japan W	28:8
02.05.26	Spain W - USA W	16:15 penalties ✺
01.05.26	USA W - Hungary W	12:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWLW

World Cup Water Polo Women
17.01.25	Italy W - USA W	13:12
Olympic Games - Water polo Women
31.07.24	Italy W - USA W	3:10
Friendly International Water Polo Women
25.06.24	USA W - Italy W	14:5
World Championship Water Polo Women
24.07.23	USA W - Italy W	7:8
World Cup Water Polo Women
20.04.23	USA W - Italy W	10:6
13.04.23	USA W - Italy W	14:13
World League Water Polo Women
04.11.22	USA W - Italy W	11:10

Italy W - USA W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide