Match Info

A1 - Play Out - Final

Date: 17 June 2026, Wednesday


	Rari Nantes Salerno		Telimar Palermo

	1	X	2
	1.85	6.85	2.54
	1.75	6.6	2.55
	1.84	7.40	2.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.82)	6.95 ↓ (7.5)	2.5 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 27.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rari Nantes Salerno
50.3%

Draw
13.1%

Telimar Palermo
36.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.1%

12.2%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

12.9%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rari Nantes Salerno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Telimar Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rari Nantes Salerno than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Telimar Palermo than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Rari Nantes Salerno - Telimar Palermo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Salerno will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 15:15

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Preview

Salerno leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salerno won 3.

Salerno has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Palermo is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Palermo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Salerno has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Salerno will win today's game, with odds of 1.82.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Salerno won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 122:147. (average 10.2:12.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Salerno won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 66:73. (average 9.4:10.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
14	Telimar	1	0	0	1	13:14	0

Outrights of Italian A1 Water Polo for now

Telimar: 0.64%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rari Nantes Salerno
Italian A1 Water Polo
13.06.26	Telimar Palermo - Rari Nantes Salerno	18:20 penalties ✺
06.06.26	Napoli - Rari Nantes Salerno	14:13 ✺
03.06.26	Rari Nantes Salerno - Napoli	20:21 penalties ✺
30.05.26	Napoli - Rari Nantes Salerno	13:16 ✺
16.05.26	De Akker Bologna - Rari Nantes Salerno	15:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLLWL
- Telimar Palermo
Italian A1 Water Polo
13.06.26	Telimar Palermo - Rari Nantes Salerno	18:20 penalties ✺
03.06.26	Telimar Palermo - Ortigia	11:14 ✺
30.05.26	Ortigia - Telimar Palermo	18:11 ✺
27.05.26	Ortigia - Telimar Palermo	20:18 ✺
16.05.26	Telimar Palermo - Savona	9:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian A1 Water Polo
13.06.26	Telimar Palermo - Rari Nantes Salerno	18:20 penalties
28.02.26	Rari Nantes Salerno - Telimar Palermo	19:13
22.10.25	Telimar Palermo - Rari Nantes Salerno	17:16 penalties
14.10.23	Rari Nantes Salerno - Telimar Palermo	12:10
01.04.23	Telimar Palermo - Rari Nantes Salerno	17:8
17.12.22	Rari Nantes Salerno - Telimar Palermo	9:10
14.05.22	Rari Nantes Salerno - Telimar Palermo	8:13

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