Match Info

A1 - Play Out - Semi-finals

Date: 3 June 2026, Wednesday


	Telimar Palermo		Ortigia

	1	X	2
	2.47	7.02	1.87
	2.35	7.7	1.8
	2.38	7.4	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.38)	7.37 ↓ (7.4)	1.84 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 26.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Telimar Palermo
38%

Draw
12.4%

Ortigia
49.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.3%

12.3%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

12.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Telimar Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Ortigia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Telimar Palermo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ortigia than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Telimar Palermo - Ortigia Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Ortigia will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

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Preview

Ortigia leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 1.

Recent form of Palermo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ortigia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Ortigia will win today's game, with odds of 1.86.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 170:219. (average 8.5:11).

Including home matches between the teams, Palermo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 60:91. (average 6.7:10.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
7	Ortigia	2	1	0	1	23:27	3
14	Telimar	1	0	0	1	13:14	0

Outrights of Italian A1 Water Polo for now

Telimar: 0.64% Ortigia: 0.64%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Telimar Palermo
Italian A1 Water Polo
30.05.26	Ortigia - Telimar Palermo	18:11 ✺
27.05.26	Ortigia - Telimar Palermo	20:18 ✺
16.05.26	Telimar Palermo - Savona	9:22 ✺
06.05.26	Florentia - Telimar Palermo	17:16 ✺
29.04.26	Telimar Palermo - Quinto	16:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLW
- CC Ortigia
Italian A1 Water Polo
30.05.26	Ortigia - Telimar Palermo	18:11 ✺
27.05.26	Ortigia - Telimar Palermo	20:18 ✺
16.05.26	Posillipo - Ortigia	12:9 ✺
06.05.26	Ortigia - Napoli	14:12 ✺
29.04.26	Pro Recco - Ortigia	18:10
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian A1 Water Polo
30.05.26	Ortigia - Telimar Palermo	18:11
27.05.26	Ortigia - Telimar Palermo	20:18
13.12.25	Telimar Palermo - Ortigia	9:16
08.03.25	Ortigia - Telimar Palermo	11:13
30.11.24	Telimar Palermo - Ortigia	9:10
30.03.24	Telimar Palermo - Ortigia	6:10
08.11.23	Ortigia - Telimar Palermo	7:7

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