Match Info

A1 - Play Out - Semi-finals

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday


	Ortigia		Telimar Palermo

	1	X	2
	1.47	7	3.5
	1.47	8	3.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 (1.47)	7.5 (7.5)	3.47 (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 26.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ortigia
61.7%

Draw
12.1%

Telimar Palermo
26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

12.1%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Ortigia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Telimar Palermo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The ML Model estimate for Ortigia aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Telimar Palermo aligns with the current prediction.

Ortigia - Telimar Palermo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 15:12

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Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ortigia won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Ortigia is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ortigia won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 213:165. (average 10.7:8.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ortigia won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 122:105. (average 11.1:9.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
7	Ortigia	2	1	0	1	23:27	3
14	Telimar	1	0	0	1	13:14	0

Outrights of Italian A1 Water Polo for now

Telimar: 0.64% Ortigia: 0.64%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CC Ortigia
Italian A1 Water Polo
27.05.26	Ortigia - Telimar Palermo	20:18 ✺
16.05.26	Posillipo - Ortigia	12:9 ✺
06.05.26	Ortigia - Napoli	14:12 ✺
29.04.26	Pro Recco - Ortigia	18:10
18.04.26	Ortigia - Trieste	11:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLWLL
- Telimar Palermo
Italian A1 Water Polo
27.05.26	Ortigia - Telimar Palermo	20:18 ✺
16.05.26	Telimar Palermo - Savona	9:22 ✺
06.05.26	Florentia - Telimar Palermo	17:16 ✺
29.04.26	Telimar Palermo - Quinto	16:13 ✺
18.04.26	De Akker Bologna - Telimar Palermo	14:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian A1 Water Polo
27.05.26	Ortigia - Telimar Palermo	20:18
13.12.25	Telimar Palermo - Ortigia	9:16
08.03.25	Ortigia - Telimar Palermo	11:13
30.11.24	Telimar Palermo - Ortigia	9:10
30.03.24	Telimar Palermo - Ortigia	6:10
08.11.23	Ortigia - Telimar Palermo	7:7
20.05.23	Telimar Palermo - Ortigia	6:14

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