Match Info

World Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 July 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	STVR Sport


	Spain		Australia

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Spain
78%

Draw
9%

Australia
13%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

82.9%

9.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Australia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Spain will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 16:11

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In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spain won 5.

In this match, Spain is the clear favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Spain won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 113:68. (average 12.6:7.6).

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spain water polo
World Cup Water Polo
12.04.26	Spain - Greece	13:15 penalties ✺
11.04.26	Italy - Spain	12:16 ✺
09.04.26	Hungary - Spain	14:15 penalties ✺
08.04.26	Spain - USA	15:8 ✺
07.04.26	Spain - Croatia	14:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWWW
- Australia water polo
World Cup Water Polo
13.04.26	Romania - Australia	14:16 penalties ✺
12.04.26	Ukraine - Australia	15:21 ✺
11.04.26	Australia - Germany	11:6 ✺
10.04.26	Australia - Slovakia	18:9 ✺
09.04.26	Australia - Singapore	27:6
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWW

World Championship Water Polo
14.07.25	Australia - Spain	7:10
Olympic Games - Water polo
28.07.24	Australia - Spain	5:9
World Championship Water Polo
09.02.24	Australia - Spain	9:15
World Cup Water Polo
13.03.23	Australia - Spain	8:18
World League Water Polo
22.07.22	Australia - Spain	10:13
Olympic Games - Water polo
30.07.21	Australia - Spain	5:16
World League Water Polo
23.06.19	Australia - Spain	11:10

Spain - Australia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide