Match Info

A1 - Round 24

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday


	Ortigia		Napoli

	1	X	2
	1.54	8.15	3.22
	1.5	8	3.1
	1.63	7.5	2.87	Watch
	1.58	7.5	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.59)	7.79 ↑ (7.78)	3.07 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 25.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ortigia
58.5%

Draw
11.7%

Napoli
29.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.6%

11.7%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

12.3%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ortigia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ortigia than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Ortigia - Napoli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 14:12

#ad

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ortigia won 3.

Ortigia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Napoli's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ortigia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ortigia might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Napoli will win today's game, with odds of 3.06.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ortigia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 56:65. (average 7:8.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ortigia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:20. (average 7.3:6.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
7	Ortigia	2	1	0	1	23:27	3
8	Napoli	1	1	0	0	20:14	3

Outrights of Italian A1 Water Polo for now

Ortigia: 0.64% Napoli: 0.64%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CC Ortigia
Italian A1 Water Polo
29.04.26	Pro Recco - Ortigia	18:10
18.04.26	Ortigia - Trieste	11:12 ✺
15.04.26	Rari Nantes Salerno - Ortigia	17:21 ✺
28.03.26	Ortigia - Brescia	10:21 ✺
14.03.26	Olympic Roma - Ortigia	10:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL
- CC Napoli
Italian A1 Water Polo
29.04.26	Napoli - Savona	14:17 penalties ✺
22.04.26	Napoli - Quinto	10:11 ✺
17.04.26	Florentia - Napoli	7:11 ✺
28.03.26	Telimar Palermo - Napoli	11:13 ✺
13.03.26	Napoli - Posillipo	10:11 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian A1 Water Polo
06.12.25	Napoli - Ortigia	11:10
27.11.19	Napoli - Ortigia	6:10
26.01.19	Ortigia - Napoli	10:7
20.10.18	Napoli - Ortigia	10:5
19.05.18	Ortigia - Napoli	7:6
20.01.18	Napoli - Ortigia	1:2
08.04.17	Ortigia - Napoli	5:7

Upcoming Matches