Match Info

DOTA 2: PGL Wallachia Season 9 - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Aurora Gaming		Natus Vincere

	1	2
	1.68	2.06
	1.74	2.02
	1.66	2.21	Watch
	1.75	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.69)	2.06 ↓ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aurora Gaming
54.7%

Natus Vincere
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aurora Gaming has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Natus Vincere has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora Gaming than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Natus Vincere than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

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Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Recently, Aurora has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Aurora has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:7 (averaging 0.8:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Aurora against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 2:6 goals (averaging 0.5:1.5 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Natus Vincere - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.92%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurora Gaming Dota 2
eSports
25.09.26	Aurora Gaming - Team Yandex	1:2 ✺
24.09.26	Aurora Gaming - GamerLegion	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	LGD Gaming - Aurora Gaming	0:2 ✺
21.09.26	Aurora Gaming - Team Cobra	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Aurora Gaming - Natus Vincere	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWWL
- Natus Vincere Dota 2
eSports
25.09.26	Team Nemesis - Natus Vincere	1:2 ✺
24.09.26	Natus Vincere - LGD Gaming	1:2 ✺
22.09.26	Natus Vincere - 1w Team	2:1 ✺
21.09.26	Team Yandex - Natus Vincere	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Aurora Gaming - Natus Vincere	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

eSports
20.09.26	Aurora Gaming - Natus Vincere	0:2
19.05.26	Natus Vincere - Aurora Gaming	1:2
10.12.25	Aurora Gaming - Natus Vincere	0:2
19.10.25	Aurora Gaming - Natus Vincere	2:1
14.10.25	Aurora Gaming - Natus Vincere	0:1

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