Match Info

LEAGUE OF LEGENDS: LEC - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday


	Movistar KOI		Natus Vincere

	1	2
	1.47	2.65
	1.48	2.58
	1.37	2.99	Watch
	1.48	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (2.75)	2.73 ↑ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Movistar KOI
65.3%

Natus Vincere
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Movistar KOI has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+31.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Movistar KOI's performance.

Natus Vincere has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-31.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Natus Vincere might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Movistar KOI than the current prediction. (-26.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Movistar KOI that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Natus Vincere than the current prediction. (+26.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Natus Vincere could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Movistar KOI - Natus Vincere Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Movistar KOI will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Movistar KOI won 4.

Movistar KOI has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Natus Vincere is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Movistar KOI is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Movistar KOI has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 10:2 (averaging 1.7:0.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Movistar KOI against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:0 goals (averaging 2:0 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Movistar KOI LoL
eSports
12.09.26	Vitality - Movistar KOI	2:3 ✺
30.08.26	Movistar KOI - Heretics	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	SK Gaming - Movistar KOI	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Movistar KOI - Natus Vincere	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Movistar KOI - GIANTX	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWL
- Natus Vincere LoL
eSports
11.09.26	GIANTX - Natus Vincere	2:3 ✺
29.08.26	Natus Vincere - GIANTX	2:1 ✺
24.08.26	Natus Vincere - Fnatic	2:0 ✺
21.08.26	Vitality - Natus Vincere	2:1 ✺
17.08.26	Natus Vincere - Heretics	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

eSports
16.08.26	Movistar KOI - Natus Vincere	2:0
16.05.26	Natus Vincere - Movistar KOI	0:2
28.03.26	Natus Vincere - Movistar KOI	2:1
20.02.26	Natus Vincere - Movistar KOI	0:2
08.02.26	Natus Vincere - Movistar KOI	0:1
16.08.25	Movistar KOI - Natus Vincere	2:0

Movistar KOI - Natus Vincere: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide