Match Info

NCAA

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Air Force Falcons		Hawaii Warriors

	1	2
	1.37	3.2
	1.36	3.29
	1.67	2.10	Watch
	1.4	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.53)	2.91 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 52.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Air Force Falcons
66.7%

Hawaii Warriors
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Air Force Falcons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Hawaii Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Air Force Falcons - Hawaii Warriors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:23

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 14)
03:35, Harris J. (Touchdown),
03:35, Matsuzawa K. (Extra Point),
05:44, Fleischmann B. (Touchdown),
05:44, Medina J. (Extra Point),
08:49, White B. (Touchdown),
08:49, Matsuzawa K. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (0 - 3)
11:11, Matsuzawa K. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (7 - 7)
02:27, Frew K. (Touchdown),
02:27, Medina J. (Extra Point),
12:16, Sims L. (Touchdown),
12:16, Matsuzawa K. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (21 - 20)
00:05, Barfield C. (Touchdown),
00:05, Matsuzawa K. (Extra Point),
00:56, Harris C. (Touchdown),
00:56, Medina J. (Extra Point),
03:46, Matsuzawa K. (Field Goal),
09:02, Hodges K. (Touchdown),
09:02, Medina J. (Extra Point),
09:54, Jackson H. (Touchdown),
09:54, Matsuzawa K. (Extra Point),
10:30, Smith Q. (Touchdown),
10:30, Medina J. (Extra Point),
14:26, Matsuzawa K. (Field Goal),

Preview

Hawaii's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Hawaii has had a series of home games.

In this match, Air Force is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Air Force won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 175:101. (average 35:20.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Air Force won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 48:41. (average 24:20.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Air Force Falcons football
NCAA College Football
20.09.25	Air Force Falcons - Boise State Broncos	37:49 ✺
13.09.25	Utah State Aggies - Air Force Falcons	49:30 ✺
30.08.25	Air Force Falcons - Bucknell Bison	49:13 ✺
30.11.24	San Diego State Aztecs - Air Force Falcons	20:31 ✺
23.11.24	Nevada Wolf Pack - Air Force Falcons	19:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWWW
- Hawaii Warriors football
NCAA College Football
20.09.25	Hawaii Warriors - Fresno State Bulldogs	21:23 ✺
13.09.25	Hawaii Warriors - Portland State Vikings	23:3 ✺
06.09.25	Hawaii Warriors - Sam Houston State Bearkats	37:20 ✺
30.08.25	Arizona Wildcats - Hawaii Warriors	40:6 ✺
23.08.25	Hawaii Warriors - Stanford Cardinal	23:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
11.11.23	Hawaii Warriors - Air Force Falcons	27:13
19.10.19	Hawaii Warriors - Air Force Falcons	26:56
22.10.16	Air Force Falcons - Hawaii Warriors	27:34 OT
31.10.15	Hawaii Warriors - Air Force Falcons	7:58
16.11.12	Air Force Falcons - Hawaii Warriors	21:7

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