Match Info

NCAA

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday


	Utah State Aggies		Air Force Falcons

	1	2
	2.65	1.5
	2.65	1.5
	2.66	1.51
	1.73	2.01	Watch
	2.52	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.51)	1.61 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 51.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utah State Aggies
39.7%

Air Force Falcons
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utah State Aggies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Air Force Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Utah State Aggies - Air Force Falcons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:29

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 0)
04:52, Barnes B. (Touchdown),
04:52, Rinker T. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (7 - 10)
00:14, Medina J. (Field Goal),
01:50, Pegan B. (Touchdown),
01:50, Rinker T. (Extra Point),
05:56, Szarka L. (Touchdown),
05:56, Medina J. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (21 - 6)
02:20, Garcia A. (Touchdown),
02:20, Rinker T. (Extra Point),
05:38, Barnes B. (Touchdown),
05:38, Rinker T. (Extra Point),
12:33, Allen O. (Touchdown),
14:26, Pegan B. (Touchdown),
14:26, Rinker T. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (14 - 14)
02:25, Szarka L. (Touchdown),
03:02, Roberson T. (Two-Point Conversion),
07:50, Rinker T. (Extra Point),
12', Barnes B. (Touchdown),
13:23, Szarka L. (Touchdown),
14', Jacobs J. (Touchdown),
14', (Extra Point),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utah State won 2.

Utah State may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Air Force is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Utah State won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 329:345. (average 29.9:31.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Utah State won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 137:137. (average 27.4:27.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Utah State Aggies football
NCAA College Football
06.09.25	Texas A&M Aggies - Utah State Aggies	44:22 ✺
30.08.25	Utah State Aggies - UTEP Miners	28:16 ✺
29.11.24	Colorado State Rams - Utah State Aggies	42:30 ✺
23.11.24	Utah State Aggies - San Diego State Aztecs	41:20 ✺
16.11.24	Utah State Aggies - Hawaii Warriors	55:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLWW
- Air Force Falcons football
NCAA College Football
30.08.25	Air Force Falcons - Bucknell Bison	49:13 ✺
30.11.24	San Diego State Aztecs - Air Force Falcons	20:31 ✺
23.11.24	Nevada Wolf Pack - Air Force Falcons	19:22 ✺
16.11.24	Air Force Falcons - Oregon State Beavers	28:0 ✺
09.11.24	Air Force Falcons - Fresno State Bulldogs	36:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
15.09.23	Air Force Falcons - Utah State Aggies	39:21
08.10.22	Utah State Aggies - Air Force Falcons	34:27
18.09.21	Air Force Falcons - Utah State Aggies	45:49
03.12.20	Utah State Aggies - Air Force Falcons	7:35
26.10.19	Air Force Falcons - Utah State Aggies	31:7
22.09.18	Utah State Aggies - Air Force Falcons	42:32
25.11.17	Air Force Falcons - Utah State Aggies	38:35

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