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Current Win Probability
San Diego State Aztecs 33.3%
Air Force Falcons 66.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40%
60%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.5%
58.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Diego State Aztecs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Diego State Aztecs's form might have worsened.
Air Force Falcons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Air Force Falcons's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego State Aztecs than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Diego State Aztecs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Air Force Falcons than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Air Force Falcons, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
San Diego State Aztecs - Air Force Falcons Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. San Diego State will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Air Force will win (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 19:25
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (7 - 14)
04:58, Carson D. (Touchdown),
04:58, Dapore M. (Extra Point),
09:00, Cooper M. (Touchdown),
09:00, Plascencia G. (Extra Point),
14:31, Hayes Q. (Touchdown),
14:31, Dapore M. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (7 - 3)
08:29, Dapore M. (Field Goal),
14:35, Cooper M. (Touchdown),
14:35, Plascencia G. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (0 - 14)
06:57, Hayes Q. (Touchdown),
06:57, Dapore M. (Extra Point),
14:00, Carson D. (Touchdown),
14:00, Dapore M. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (6 - 0)
01:06, Cooper M. (Touchdown),
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches San Diego State won 3.
San Diego State has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Air Force is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Air Force will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 11 head-to-head matches San Diego State won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 194:184 (average 17.6:16.7).
Including matches at home between the teams San Diego State won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 109:77 (average 18.2:12.8).
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