Match Info

NFL - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: State Farm Stadium (Glendale, AZ)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN
World	NFL Game Pass


	Arizona Cardinals		Jacksonville Jaguars

	1	2
	2.15	1.74	Watch
	2.08	1.71	Watch
	2.33	1.66
	2.51	1.50	Watch
	2.15	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.96)	1.67 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arizona Cardinals
42.7%

Jacksonville Jaguars
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arizona Cardinals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arizona Cardinals's form might have worsened.

Jacksonville Jaguars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jacksonville Jaguars's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arizona Cardinals than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arizona Cardinals, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacksonville Jaguars than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jacksonville Jaguars, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Arizona Cardinals - Jacksonville Jaguars Predictions

Users Predictions: Jacksonville Jaguars will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jacksonville Jaguars will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:25

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 7)
07:50, Etienne T. (Touchdown),
07:50, Little C. (Extra Point),
12:34, Thompson J. (Touchdown),
12:34, Ryland C. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (7 - 3)
02:05, Little C. (Field Goal),
07:29, Knight B. (Touchdown),
07:29, Ryland C. (Extra Point),
14:43, Ryland C. (Missed Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (0 - 7)
06:50, Meyers J. (Touchdown),
06:50, Little C. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (10 - 7)
07:48, Dortch G. (Touchdown),
07:48, Ryland C. (Extra Point),
11:13, Washington P. (Touchdown),
11:13, Little C. (Extra Point),
14:54, Ryland C. (Field Goal),
Overtime (0 - 3)
02:09, Little C. (Field Goal),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 7).

Recent form of Arizona has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jacksonville has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Arizona won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 85:57. (average 28.3:19).

Including home match between the teams, Arizona won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 27:24.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arizona Cardinals
NFL
16.11.25	Arizona Cardinals - San Francisco 49ers	22:41 ✺
09.11.25	Seattle Seahawks - Arizona Cardinals	44:22 ✺
03.11.25	Dallas Cowboys - Arizona Cardinals	17:27 ✺
19.10.25	Arizona Cardinals - Green Bay Packers	23:27 ✺
12.10.25	Indianapolis Colts - Arizona Cardinals	31:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL
- Jacksonville Jaguars
NFL
16.11.25	Jacksonville Jaguars - Los Angeles Chargers	35:6 ✺
09.11.25	Houston Texans - Jacksonville Jaguars	36:29 ✺
02.11.25	Las Vegas Raiders - Jacksonville Jaguars	29:30 OT ✺
19.10.25	Jacksonville Jaguars - Los Angeles Rams	7:35 ✺
12.10.25	Jacksonville Jaguars - Seattle Seahawks	12:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
26.09.21	Jacksonville Jaguars - Arizona Cardinals	19:31
26.11.17	Arizona Cardinals - Jacksonville Jaguars	27:24
17.11.13	Jacksonville Jaguars - Arizona Cardinals	14:27

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