The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Houston Texans 49.5%
Jacksonville Jaguars 50.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.7%
40.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56%
44%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Houston Texans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Houston Texans's form might have worsened.
Jacksonville Jaguars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jacksonville Jaguars's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Texans than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Houston Texans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacksonville Jaguars than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jacksonville Jaguars, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30%
0%
70%
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Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Jacksonville will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Confidence interval (95%) for Jacksonville: 41.6% – 98.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 6.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 41.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jacksonville Jaguars will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:18
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (0 - 10)
03:52, Little C. (Field Goal),
06:43, Washington P. (Touchdown),
06:43, Little C. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (10 - 10)
03:20, Washington P. (Touchdown),
03:20, Little C. (Extra Point),
06:55, Wright M. (Field Goal),
10:58, Little C. (Field Goal),
13:41, Marks W. (Touchdown),
13:41, Wright M. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (0 - 9)
04:43, Little C. (Field Goal),
13:27, Etienne T. (Touchdown),
13:27, (2-Point Conversion Failed),
4th Quarter (26 - 0)
03:44, Higgins J. (Touchdown),
03:44, Collins N. (Two-Point Conversion),
07:31, Schultz D. (Touchdown),
07:31, (2-Point Conversion Failed),
14:29, Mills D. (Touchdown),
14:29, (2-Point Conversion Failed),
15:00, Anderson Jr. W. (Touchdown),
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Jacksonville may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Jacksonville: Hodges C.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Jacksonville: Brown M.
(Ankle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Houston won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 423:357. (average 21.2:17.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 206:180. (average 20.6:18).