Match Info
NFL - Round 6Date: 13 October 2025, MondayLocation: Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, GA)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | ESPN |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 France | beIN Sports 1 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 9 |
 Hungary | Match 4 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 United-kingdom | DAZN, Sky Sports Main Event |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | NFL Game Pass |
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Atlanta Falcons |
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Buffalo Bills |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 49.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
- The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Atlanta Falcons
34.8% | Buffalo Bills
65.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlanta Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Buffalo Bills has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Falcons than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buffalo Bills than the current prediction. (-2.7%)Atlanta Falcons - Buffalo Bills Predictions
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 8 - 40%). Buffalo will win (votes: 12 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Buffalo: 38.5% – 81.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 3 - 60%). Buffalo (votes: 2 - 40%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 49.5, OT - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +4.5, OT - Atlanta (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Buffalo (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:27 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (14 - 7)
- 02:45, Allgeier T. (Touchdown),
- 02:45, Romo J. P. (Extra Point),
- 06:59, Knox D. (Touchdown),
- 06:59, Prater M. (Extra Point),
- 14:34, London D. (Touchdown),
- 14:34, Romo J. P. (Extra Point),
- 2nd Quarter (7 - 0)
- 03:51, Robinson B. (Touchdown),
- 03:51, Romo J. P. (Extra Point),
- 3rd Quarter (0 - 7)
- 05:37, Davis R. (Touchdown),
- 05:37, Prater M. (Extra Point),
- 4th Quarter (3 - 0)
- 13:17, Romo J. P. (Field Goal),
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2).Atlanta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Buffalo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Atlanta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Buffalo has had a series of home games. Buffalo will hold a modest advantage in this match.There are questionable in Buffalo: White T.
(Groin Injury) We predict that Buffalo will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 66:83. (average 22:27.7).Including home match between the teams, Atlanta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:23.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NFL | | | 02.01.22 | Buffalo Bills - Atlanta Falcons | 29:15 | | 01.10.17 | Atlanta Falcons - Buffalo Bills | 17:23 | | 01.12.13 | Buffalo Bills - Atlanta Falcons | 31:34 OT |
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✺ - difficult match;
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