Match Info

Date: 29 November 2020, Sunday


	Atlanta Falcons		Las Vegas Raiders

	1	2
	2.5	1.58	Watch
	2.5	1.57
	2.5	1.58
	2.39	1.56
	2.48	1.61
	2.5	1.59
	2.42	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.42)	1.59 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Network on TV: CBS

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta Falcons
39.1%

Las Vegas Raiders
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Las Vegas Raiders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Falcons than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Vegas Raiders than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Atlanta Falcons - Las Vegas Raiders Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:29

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 9).

Las Vegas has a good chance of playoffs (68%), has a very small chance of win division (2%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (<1%).

Atlanta has a very small chance of playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of win division (<1%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (<1%).

Two teams has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Las Vegas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

Atlanta will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Las Vegas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 58-48.

Including matches at home between the teams Las Vegas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 23-20.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta Falcons
NFL
22.11.20	New Orleans Saints - Atlanta Falcons	24:9 ✺
08.11.20	Atlanta Falcons - Denver Broncos	34:27 ✺
29.10.20	Carolina Panthers - Atlanta Falcons	17:25 ✺
25.10.20	Atlanta Falcons - Detroit Lions	22:23 ✺
18.10.20	Minnesota Vikings - Atlanta Falcons	23:40 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWLW
- Las Vegas Raiders
NFL
22.11.20	Las Vegas Raiders - Kansas City Chiefs	31:35 ✺
15.11.20	Las Vegas Raiders - Denver Broncos	37:12 ✺
08.11.20	Los Angeles Chargers - Las Vegas Raiders	26:31 ✺
01.11.20	Cleveland Browns - Las Vegas Raiders	6:16 ✺
25.10.20	Las Vegas Raiders - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	20:45 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
18.09.16	Las Vegas Raiders - Atlanta Falcons	28:35
14.10.12	Atlanta Falcons - Las Vegas Raiders	23:20

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