Match Info

USA: NFL - ROUND 12

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Bank of America Stadium (Charlotte)


	Carolina Panthers		Denver Broncos

	1	2
	2	1.83	Watch
	2	1.83
	2	1.89
	2	1.82
	2.06	1.85
	2	1.83	Watch
	2.04	1.8
	1.95	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.2)	1.83 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 36.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Network on TV: FOX (WJZY - Charlotte, NC)

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Current Win Probability

Carolina Panthers
47.7%

Denver Broncos
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carolina Panthers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Denver Broncos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carolina Panthers than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denver Broncos than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Carolina Panthers - Denver Broncos Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Carolina will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Denver will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Denver: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 19:19

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 13).

Carolina has currently - 3-8, has a very small chance of playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of win division (3%), has not chance of 1st-round bye.

Denver has currently - 3-7, has a very small chance of playoffs (0.6%), has a very small chance of win division (<0.1%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (<0.1%).

This event has very small quality 8, very small importance 3, very small match rating 6. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Carolina is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Denver is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Carolina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Carolina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 71-113.

Including matches at home between the teams Carolina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 41-68.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carolina Panthers
NFL
20.11.22	Baltimore Ravens - Carolina Panthers	13:3 ✺
10.11.22	Carolina Panthers - Atlanta Falcons	25:15 ✺
06.11.22	Cincinnati Bengals - Carolina Panthers	42:21 ✺
30.10.22	Atlanta Falcons - Carolina Panthers	37:34 OT ✺
23.10.22	Carolina Panthers - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	21:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWLLW
- Denver Broncos
NFL
20.11.22	Denver Broncos - Las Vegas Raiders	16:22 OT ✺
13.11.22	Tennessee Titans - Denver Broncos	17:10 ✺
30.10.22	Jacksonville Jaguars - Denver Broncos	17:21 ✺
23.10.22	Denver Broncos - New York Jets	9:16 ✺
17.10.22	Los Angeles Chargers - Denver Broncos	19:16 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
13.12.20	Carolina Panthers - Denver Broncos	27:32
08.09.16	Denver Broncos - Carolina Panthers	21:20
07.02.16	Denver Broncos - Carolina Panthers	24:10
11.11.12	Carolina Panthers - Denver Broncos	14:36

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