What is the expert prediction for Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, November 16, 2025)

Match Info

NFL - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Empower Field at Mile High (Denver, CO)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
France	beIN Sports 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9
Hungary	Arena 4
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports NFL
World	NFL Game Pass


	Denver Broncos		Kansas City Chiefs

	1	2
	2.75	1.48	Watch
	2.76	1.43	Watch
	2.82	1.48
	2.03	1.75	Watch
	2.85	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.43)	1.52 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denver Broncos
36.5%

Kansas City Chiefs
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denver Broncos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Kansas City Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denver Broncos than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Denver Broncos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kansas City Chiefs than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kansas City Chiefs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65%	0%	35%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Denver will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Kansas City will win (votes: 7 - 35%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Denver: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Denver (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Kansas City (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:25

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (6 - 3)
07:21, Lutz W. (Field Goal),
10:04, Lutz W. (Field Goal),
14:08, Butker H. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (0 - 3)
10:19, Butker H. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (7 - 7)
10:57, McLaughlin J. (Touchdown),
10:57, Lutz W. (Extra Point),
14:11, Hunt K. (Touchdown),
14:11, Butker H. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (9 - 6)
02:06, Lutz W. (Field Goal),
05:03, Kelce T. (Touchdown),
05:03, Butker H. (Missed Extra Point),
10:45, Lutz W. (Field Goal),
15:00, Lutz W. (Field Goal),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Denver won 2.

Denver has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Kansas City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Denver may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kansas City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Denver won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 380:502. (average 19:25.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Denver won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 223:257. (average 22.3:25.7).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denver Broncos
NFL
06.11.25	Denver Broncos - Las Vegas Raiders	10:7 ✺
02.11.25	Houston Texans - Denver Broncos	15:18 ✺
26.10.25	Denver Broncos - Dallas Cowboys	44:24 ✺
19.10.25	Denver Broncos - New York Giants	33:32 ✺
12.10.25	New York Jets - Denver Broncos	11:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWW
- Kansas City Chiefs
NFL
02.11.25	Buffalo Bills - Kansas City Chiefs	28:21 ✺
27.10.25	Kansas City Chiefs - Washington Commanders	28:7 ✺
19.10.25	Kansas City Chiefs - Las Vegas Raiders	31:0 ✺
12.10.25	Kansas City Chiefs - Detroit Lions	30:17 ✺
06.10.25	Jacksonville Jaguars - Kansas City Chiefs	31:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
05.01.25	Denver Broncos - Kansas City Chiefs	38:0
10.11.24	Kansas City Chiefs - Denver Broncos	16:14
29.10.23	Denver Broncos - Kansas City Chiefs	24:9
12.10.23	Kansas City Chiefs - Denver Broncos	19:8
01.01.23	Kansas City Chiefs - Denver Broncos	27:24
11.12.22	Denver Broncos - Kansas City Chiefs	28:34
08.01.22	Denver Broncos - Kansas City Chiefs	24:28

Denver Broncos - Kansas City Chiefs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide