Match Info

USA: NFL - ROUND 4

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Soldier Field (Chicago) 🌤️ ...


	Chicago Bears		Denver Broncos

	1	2
	2.4	1.63	Watch
	2.4	1.6
	2.38	1.61	Watch
	2.36	1.61
	2.36	1.66
	2.4	1.62
	2.19	1.7
	2.24	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.14)	1.62 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Network on TV: CBS (WCIA-Champaign-Springfield, IL)

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Current Win Probability

Chicago Bears
41%

Denver Broncos
59%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.8%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chicago Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Denver Broncos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Bears than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chicago Bears, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denver Broncos than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Denver Broncos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	0%	64.7%

Chicago Bears - Denver Broncos Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Denver will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Denver: 42% – 87.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:26

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 16).

Chicago has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Denver is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Denver will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chicago won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 72-100.

Including matches at home between the teams Chicago won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 32-63.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chicago Bears
NFL
24.09.23	Kansas City Chiefs - Chicago Bears	41:10 ✺
17.09.23	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Chicago Bears	27:17 ✺
10.09.23	Chicago Bears - Green Bay Packers	20:38 ✺
26.08.23	Chicago Bears - Buffalo Bills	21:24 ✺
19.08.23	Indianapolis Colts - Chicago Bears	24:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Denver Broncos
NFL
24.09.23	Miami Dolphins - Denver Broncos	70:20 ✺
17.09.23	Denver Broncos - Washington Commanders	33:35 ✺
10.09.23	Denver Broncos - Las Vegas Raiders	16:17 ✺
26.08.23	Denver Broncos - Los Angeles Rams	41:0 ✺
19.08.23	San Francisco 49ers - Denver Broncos	21:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
15.09.19	Denver Broncos - Chicago Bears	14:16
18.08.18	Denver Broncos - Chicago Bears	23:24
10.08.17	Chicago Bears - Denver Broncos	17:24
11.08.16	Chicago Bears - Denver Broncos	0:22
22.11.15	Chicago Bears - Denver Broncos	15:17
09.08.12	Chicago Bears - Denver Broncos	N/A

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chicago Bears
NFL
02.11.26	Seattle Seahawks - Chicago Bears	✺
- Denver Broncos
NFL
01.11.26	Denver Broncos - Kansas City Chiefs	✺

Chicago Bears - Denver Broncos