The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 59.3%
New England Patriots 40.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.3%
43.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.6%
48.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tampa Bay Buccaneers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
New England Patriots has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Buccaneers than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tampa Bay Buccaneers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New England Patriots than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New England Patriots could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
0%
80%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers - New England Patriots Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -3.5, OT - New England (3.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -3.5 - New England (2.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
New England Patriots will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): New England Patriots will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. New England (votes: 8 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:23
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (7 - 6)
03:37, Egbuka E. (Touchdown),
03:37, McLaughlin C. (Extra Point),
15:00, Williams K. (Touchdown),
15:00, Borregales A. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (3 - 8)
07:44, McLaughlin C. (Field Goal),
15:00, Diggs S. (Touchdown),
15:00, Borregales A. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (6 - 7)
00:48, Henderson T. (Touchdown),
00:48, Borregales A. (Extra Point),
10:48, Johnson T. (Touchdown),
11', Egbuka E. (2-Point Conversion Failed),
4th Quarter (7 - 7)
13:29, Henderson T. (Touchdown),
13:29, Borregales A. (Extra Point),
14:27, Johnson T. (Touchdown),
14:27, McLaughlin C. (Extra Point),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 3).
Recent performances by Tampa Bay have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
New England is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Tampa Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There are questionable in New England: Mapu M.
(Neck Injury)
Moses M.
(Foot Injury)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 87:112. (average 17.4:22.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 44:47. (average 22:23.5).