Match Info

USA: NFL - Round 14

Date: 9 December 2024, Monday

Location: AT&T Stadium (Arlington, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	ESPN
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 3
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 Premium
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN NFL, Sky Sports Main Event
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NFL Game Pass
Venezuela	Disney+


	Dallas Cowboys		Cincinnati Bengals

	1	2
	2.8	1.45	Watch
	2.85	1.44
	2.88	1.44	Watch
	3	1.46
	2.79	1.45	Watch
	2.9	1.45
	2.8	1.46
	2.88	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (2.97)	1.45 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

Watch this match and NFL with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN

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Current Win Probability

Dallas Cowboys
33.6%

Cincinnati Bengals
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

67.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dallas Cowboys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Cincinnati Bengals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dallas Cowboys than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati Bengals than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Dallas Cowboys - Cincinnati Bengals Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dallas: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:28

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 7)
06:05, Lamb C. (Touchdown),
06:05, Aubrey B. (Extra Point),
12:15, Chase J. (Touchdown),
12:15, York C. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (3 - 10)
08:34, Aubrey B. (Field Goal),
11:30, Brown C. (Touchdown),
11:30, York C. (Extra Point),
14:26, York C. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (7 - 0)
04:28, Cooks B. (Touchdown),
04:28, Aubrey B. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (3 - 10)
00:05, Aubrey B. (Field Goal),
04:35, York C. (Field Goal),
13:59, Chase J. (Touchdown),
13:59, York C. (Extra Point),

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dallas won 4.

Recent matches Dallas is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cincinnati is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Cincinnati is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Dallas won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 135:96 (average 22.5:16).

Including matches at home between the teams Dallas won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 85:70 (average 21.3:17.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dallas Cowboys
NFL
28.11.24	Dallas Cowboys - New York Giants	27:20 ✺
24.11.24	Washington Commanders - Dallas Cowboys	26:34 ✺
18.11.24	Dallas Cowboys - Houston Texans	10:34 ✺
10.11.24	Dallas Cowboys - Philadelphia Eagles	6:34 ✺
03.11.24	Atlanta Falcons - Dallas Cowboys	27:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWLLL
- Cincinnati Bengals
NFL
01.12.24	Cincinnati Bengals - Pittsburgh Steelers	38:44 ✺
17.11.24	Los Angeles Chargers - Cincinnati Bengals	34:27 ✺
07.11.24	Baltimore Ravens - Cincinnati Bengals	35:34 ✺
03.11.24	Cincinnati Bengals - Las Vegas Raiders	41:24 ✺
27.10.24	Cincinnati Bengals - Philadelphia Eagles	17:37 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
18.09.22	Dallas Cowboys - Cincinnati Bengals	20:17
13.12.20	Cincinnati Bengals - Dallas Cowboys	7:30
18.08.18	Dallas Cowboys - Cincinnati Bengals	13:21
09.10.16	Dallas Cowboys - Cincinnati Bengals	28:14
24.08.13	Dallas Cowboys - Cincinnati Bengals	24:18
09.12.12	Cincinnati Bengals - Dallas Cowboys	19:20

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