Match Info

USA: NFL - Round 8

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Empower Field at Mile High (Denver, CO)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN NFL
Usa	NFL Game Pass


	Denver Broncos		Carolina Panthers

	1	2
	1.17	5.5	Watch
	1.16	5.5
	1.16	5.61	Watch
	1.17	5.66
	1.16	5.29	Watch
	1.15	5.75
	1.17	5.5
	1.16	5.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.45)	5.55 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 40.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Network on TV: CBS

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Current Win Probability

Denver Broncos
82.7%

Carolina Panthers
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denver Broncos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Denver Broncos's performance.

Carolina Panthers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carolina Panthers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denver Broncos than the current prediction. (-17.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Denver Broncos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carolina Panthers than the current prediction. (+17.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carolina Panthers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	0%	13.3%

Denver Broncos - Carolina Panthers Predictions

Users Predictions: Denver Broncos will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:15

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 7)
07:48, Legette X. (Touchdown),
07:48, Pineiro E. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (21 - 0)
02:31, Adkins N. (Touchdown),
02:31, Lutz W. (Extra Point),
08:09, Trautman A. (Touchdown),
08:09, Lutz W. (Extra Point),
13:48, Nix B. (Touchdown),
13:48, Lutz W. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (7 - 0)
08:11, McLaughlin J. (Touchdown),
08:11, Lutz W. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (0 - 7)
14:42, Coker J. (Touchdown),
14:42, Pineiro E. (Extra Point),

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 16).

Denver is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Carolina is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Denver could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Denver is certain favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Denver won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 123:94 (average 24.6:18.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Denver won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 45:30 (average 22.5:15).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denver Broncos
NFL
17.10.24	New Orleans Saints - Denver Broncos	10:33 ✺
13.10.24	Denver Broncos - Los Angeles Chargers	16:23 ✺
06.10.24	Denver Broncos - Las Vegas Raiders	34:18 ✺
29.09.24	New York Jets - Denver Broncos	9:10 ✺
22.09.24	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Denver Broncos	7:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WLWWW
- Carolina Panthers
NFL
20.10.24	Washington Commanders - Carolina Panthers	40:7 ✺
13.10.24	Carolina Panthers - Atlanta Falcons	20:38 ✺
06.10.24	Chicago Bears - Carolina Panthers	36:10 ✺
29.09.24	Carolina Panthers - Cincinnati Bengals	24:34 ✺
22.09.24	Las Vegas Raiders - Carolina Panthers	22:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
27.11.22	Carolina Panthers - Denver Broncos	23:10
13.12.20	Carolina Panthers - Denver Broncos	27:32
08.09.16	Denver Broncos - Carolina Panthers	21:20
07.02.16	Denver Broncos - Carolina Panthers	24:10
11.11.12	Carolina Panthers - Denver Broncos	14:36

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