Match Info

USA: NFL - Round 15

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Ford Field (Detroit, MI)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Hungary	Net4+
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Peru	Movistar Deportes
Poland	Polsat Sport Fight
Portugal	DAZN 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Spain	DAZN Espana, Movistar Deportes
Sweden	TV4 Play
United-kingdom	DAZN NFL
Usa	NFL Game Pass


	Detroit Lions		Buffalo Bills

	1	2
	1.71	2.2	Watch
	1.72	2.2
	1.69	2.23	Watch
	1.71	2.25
	1.68	2.19	Watch
	1.71	2.2
	1.71	2.2
	1.69	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.68)	2.21 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

Watch this match and NFL with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: CBS (KBAK-Bakersfield, CA)

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Current Win Probability

Detroit Lions
56.5%

Buffalo Bills
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Detroit Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Buffalo Bills has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Detroit Lions than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buffalo Bills than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Detroit Lions - Buffalo Bills Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Detroit will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Buffalo will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Detroit: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:27

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 14)
04:04, Allen J. (Touchdown),
04:04, Bass T. (Extra Point),
12:59, Allen J. (Touchdown),
12:59, Bass T. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (14 - 7)
01:24, Patrick T. (Touchdown),
01:24, Bates J. (Extra Point),
06:45, Cook J. (Touchdown),
06:45, Bass T. (Extra Point),
11:59, Skipper D. (Touchdown),
11:59, Bates J. (Extra Point),
13:13, Bass T. (Missed Field Goal),
14:18, Bates J. (Missed Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (7 - 14)
01:49, Cook J. (Touchdown),
01:49, Bass T. (Extra Point),
11:29, Shakir K. (Touchdown),
11:29, Bass T. (Extra Point),
13:19, St. Brown A. (Touchdown),
13:19, Bates J. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (21 - 13)
01:04, Bass T. (Field Goal),
03:00, Gibbs J. (Touchdown),
03:00, Bates J. (Extra Point),
03:09, Davis R. (Touchdown),
03:09, Bass T. (Extra Point),
06:58, Gibbs J. (Touchdown),
06:58, Bates J. (Extra Point),
12:54, Bass T. (Field Goal),
14:48, Williams J. (Touchdown),
14:48, Bates J. (Extra Point),

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 and 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Detroit won 0.

Detroit in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Buffalo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Buffalo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Detroit to win the game is with odds 1.72.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Detroit won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 248:181 (average 22.5:16.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Detroit won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 160:127 (average 22.9:18.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Detroit Lions
NFL
05.12.24	Detroit Lions - Green Bay Packers	34:31 ✺
28.11.24	Detroit Lions - Chicago Bears	23:20 ✺
24.11.24	Indianapolis Colts - Detroit Lions	6:24 ✺
17.11.24	Detroit Lions - Jacksonville Jaguars	52:6 ✺
10.11.24	Houston Texans - Detroit Lions	23:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWW
- Buffalo Bills
NFL
08.12.24	Los Angeles Rams - Buffalo Bills	44:42 ✺
01.12.24	Buffalo Bills - San Francisco 49ers	35:10 ✺
17.11.24	Buffalo Bills - Kansas City Chiefs	30:21 ✺
10.11.24	Indianapolis Colts - Buffalo Bills	20:30 ✺
03.11.24	Buffalo Bills - Miami Dolphins	30:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
24.11.22	Detroit Lions - Buffalo Bills	25:28
13.08.21	Detroit Lions - Buffalo Bills	15:16
23.08.19	Detroit Lions - Buffalo Bills	20:24
16.12.18	Buffalo Bills - Detroit Lions	14:13
31.08.17	Buffalo Bills - Detroit Lions	27:17
01.09.16	Detroit Lions - Buffalo Bills	31:0
03.09.15	Detroit Lions - Buffalo Bills	17:10

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