The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Washington Commanders 22.4%
Detroit Lions 77.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.1%
63.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.5%
62.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Washington Commanders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Washington Commanders's form might have worsened.
Detroit Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Detroit Lions's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Commanders than the current prediction. (+15.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Washington Commanders, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit Lions than the current prediction. (-15.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Detroit Lions, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15%
0%
85%
Washington Commanders - Detroit Lions Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -7.5, OT - Detroit (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Detroit Lions will win
(17 of 20 users predict this - 85%). Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Detroit Lions will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Detroit (votes: 9 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:29
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (3 - 14)
06:36, Gibbs J. (Touchdown),
06:36, Bates J. (Extra Point),
09:14, Gay M. (Field Goal),
13:06, St. Brown A. (Touchdown),
13:06, Bates J. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (7 - 11)
05:19, Gibbs J. (Touchdown),
05:19, Montgomery D. (Two-Point Conversion),
11:21, Rodriguez C. (Touchdown),
11:21, Gay M. (Extra Point),
14:47, Bates J. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (6 - 10)
02:54, Williams J. (Touchdown),
02:54, Gibbs J. (Extra Point),
07:55, Samuel D. (Touchdown),
07:55, (2-Point Conversion Failed),
12:27, Bates J. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (6 - 9)
02:10, Gibbs J. (Touchdown),
02:10, Bates J. (Missed Extra Point),
08:03, Sinnott B. (Touchdown),
08:03, (2-Point Conversion Failed),
10:26, Bates J. (Field Goal),
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 2.
Washington is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Detroit has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Detroit may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Detroit is the team to beat.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Washington won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 170:177. (average 24.3:25.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Washington won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 60:60. (average 20:20).