Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
France	beIN Sports MAX 5
Hungary	Net4+


	Florida Gators		LSU Tigers

	1	2
	2.3	1.65
	2.35	1.62
	2.21	1.65
	2.36	1.64
	2.29	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.6
	2.3	1.65
	2.21	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.38)	1.64 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Network on TV: ABC (WLS - Chicago, IL)

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Current Win Probability

Florida Gators
41.7%

LSU Tigers
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Florida Gators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

LSU Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Florida Gators than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LSU Tigers than the current prediction. (+3%)

Florida Gators - LSU Tigers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:31

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 0)
07:48, Badger E. (Touchdown),
07:48, Smack T. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (3 - 10)
07:21, Nussmeier G. (Touchdown),
07:21, Ramos D. (Extra Point),
11:33, Smack T. (Field Goal),
14:50, Ramos D. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (3 - 3)
09:06, Ramos D. (Field Goal),
11:53, Smack T. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (14 - 3)
01:02, Jackson J. (Touchdown),
01:02, Smack T. (Extra Point),
09:42, Ramos D. (Field Goal),
11:12, Baugh J. (Touchdown),
11:12, Smack T. (Extra Point),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Florida won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Florida could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

LSU will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Florida won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 308:359 (average 25.7:29.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Florida won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 153:154 (average 25.5:25.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Florida Gators football
NCAA College Football
09.11.24	Texas Longhorns - Florida Gators	49:17 ✺
02.11.24	Georgia Bulldogs - Florida Gators	34:20 ✺
19.10.24	Florida Gators - Kentucky Wildcats	48:20 ✺
12.10.24	Tennessee Volunteers - Florida Gators	23:17 OT ✺
05.10.24	Florida Gators - UCF Knights	24:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWLW
- LSU Tigers football
NCAA College Football
09.11.24	LSU Tigers - Alabama Crimson Tide	13:42 ✺
26.10.24	Texas A&M Aggies - LSU Tigers	38:23 ✺
19.10.24	Arkansas Razorbacks - LSU Tigers	10:34 ✺
12.10.24	LSU Tigers - Ole Miss Rebels	29:26 OT ✺
28.09.24	LSU Tigers - South Alabama Jaguars	42:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
11.11.23	LSU Tigers - Florida Gators	52:35
15.10.22	Florida Gators - LSU Tigers	35:45
16.10.21	LSU Tigers - Florida Gators	49:42
12.12.20	Florida Gators - LSU Tigers	34:37
12.10.19	LSU Tigers - Florida Gators	42:28
06.10.18	Florida Gators - LSU Tigers	27:19
07.10.17	Florida Gators - LSU Tigers	16:17

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