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Current Win Probability
Florida State Seminoles 14.7%
Florida Gators 85.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.1%
52.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.5%
38.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Florida State Seminoles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-32.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Florida State Seminoles's form might have worsened.
Florida Gators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+32.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Florida Gators's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florida State Seminoles than the current prediction. (+46.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Florida State Seminoles, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Florida Gators than the current prediction. (-46.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Florida Gators, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Florida State Seminoles - Florida Gators Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:17
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (0 - 7)
12:32, Jackson J. (Touchdown),
12:32, Smack T. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (0 - 7)
14:35, Burke M. (Touchdown),
14:35, Smack T. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (3 - 3)
05:13, Fitzgerald R. (Field Goal),
08:33, Smack T. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (8 - 14)
02:22, Johnson M. (Touchdown),
02:22, Smack T. (Extra Point),
12', (Touchdown),
12', (Two-Point Conversion),
12:57, Livingston T. (Touchdown),
12:57, Smack T. (Extra Point),
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Florida State won 2.
Florida State is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Florida is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Florida State could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Florida is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Florida State won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 304:258 (average 27.6:23.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Florida State won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 140:148 (average 28:29.6).