Match Info

USA: NFL - ROUND 10

Date: 13 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Lambeau Field (Green Bay)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
Hungary	Arena 4
Portugal	Eleven Sports


	Green Bay Packers		Dallas Cowboys

	1	2
	2.7	1.5	Watch
	2.7	1.48
	2.7	1.52
	2.75	1.46
	2.72	1.52
	2.75	1.5	Watch
	2.4	1.59
	2.55	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.25)	1.51 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 44.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

Watch this match and NFL with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX (WSYX-Columbus, OH)

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Current Win Probability

Green Bay Packers
36.1%

Dallas Cowboys
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Green Bay Packers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Green Bay Packers's form might have worsened.

Dallas Cowboys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dallas Cowboys's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Green Bay Packers than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Green Bay Packers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dallas Cowboys than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dallas Cowboys, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.6%	0%	65.4%

Green Bay Packers - Dallas Cowboys Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Green Bay will win (votes: 9 - 34.6%). Dallas will win (votes: 17 - 65.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dallas: 47.1% – 83.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:24

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 3).

Green Bay has currently - 3-6, has a very small chance of playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of win division (0.7%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (<0.1%).

Dallas has currently - 6-2, has a very good chance of playoffs (98%), has a chance of win division (21%), has a chance of 1st-round bye (16%).

This event has big quality 74, small importance 23, match rating 49. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Green Bay won 4.

Green Bay has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dallas is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Green Bay could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Dallas will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Dallas to win the game is with odds 1.5.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Green Bay won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 210-180.

Including matches at home between the teams Green Bay won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 70-58.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Green Bay Packers
NFL
06.11.22	Detroit Lions - Green Bay Packers	15:9 ✺
30.10.22	Buffalo Bills - Green Bay Packers	27:17 ✺
23.10.22	Washington Commanders - Green Bay Packers	23:21 ✺
16.10.22	Green Bay Packers - New York Jets	10:27 ✺
09.10.22	Green Bay Packers - New York Giants	22:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Dallas Cowboys
NFL
30.10.22	Dallas Cowboys - Chicago Bears	49:29 ✺
23.10.22	Dallas Cowboys - Detroit Lions	24:6 ✺
16.10.22	Philadelphia Eagles - Dallas Cowboys	26:17 ✺
09.10.22	Los Angeles Rams - Dallas Cowboys	10:22 ✺
02.10.22	Dallas Cowboys - Washington Commanders	25:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
06.10.19	Dallas Cowboys - Green Bay Packers	24:34
08.10.17	Dallas Cowboys - Green Bay Packers	31:35
15.01.17	Dallas Cowboys - Green Bay Packers	31:34
16.10.16	Green Bay Packers - Dallas Cowboys	16:30
13.12.15	Green Bay Packers - Dallas Cowboys	28:7
11.01.15	Green Bay Packers - Dallas Cowboys	26:21
15.12.13	Dallas Cowboys - Green Bay Packers	36:37

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