Match Info

NCAA

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Hawaii Warriors		Utah State Aggies

	1	2
	2	1.83
	1.97	1.8
	2.04	1.84
	2.01	1.73	Watch
	2	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.82)	1.81 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hawaii Warriors
47.4%

Utah State Aggies
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hawaii Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Utah State Aggies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawaii Warriors than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utah State Aggies than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Hawaii Warriors - Utah State Aggies Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hawaii will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Utah State will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:29

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (10 - 3)
06:07, Matsuzawa K. (Field Goal),
10:29, Rinker T. (Field Goal),
12:33, Ashlock P. (Touchdown),
12:33, Matsuzawa K. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (14 - 17)
05:24, Davis M. (Touchdown),
05:24, Davis M. (Extra Point),
06:49, Jacobs J. (Touchdown),
06:49, Garcia A. (Extra Point),
09:15, Ashlock P. (Touchdown),
09:15, Matsuzawa K. (Extra Point),
13:55, Rinker T. (Field Goal),
14:36, Ashlock P. (Touchdown),
14:36, Matsuzawa K. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (3 - 6)
00:59, Lane B. (Touchdown),
11:40, Matsuzawa K. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (17 - 0)
04:56, Alejado M. (Touchdown),
04:56, Matsuzawa K. (Extra Point),
07:13, Matsuzawa K. (Field Goal),
11:12, Sims L. (Touchdown),
11:12, Matsuzawa K. (Extra Point),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawaii won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Hawaii won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 116:323. (average 14.5:40.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Hawaii won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 65:132. (average 21.7:44).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hawaii Warriors football
NCAA College Football
27.09.25	Air Force Falcons - Hawaii Warriors	35:44 ✺
20.09.25	Hawaii Warriors - Fresno State Bulldogs	21:23 ✺
13.09.25	Hawaii Warriors - Portland State Vikings	23:3 ✺
06.09.25	Hawaii Warriors - Sam Houston State Bearkats	37:20 ✺
30.08.25	Arizona Wildcats - Hawaii Warriors	40:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWL
- Utah State Aggies football
NCAA College Football
27.09.25	Vanderbilt Commodores - Utah State Aggies	55:35 ✺
20.09.25	Utah State Aggies - McNeese State Cowboys	48:7 ✺
13.09.25	Utah State Aggies - Air Force Falcons	49:30 ✺
06.09.25	Texas A&M Aggies - Utah State Aggies	44:22 ✺
30.08.25	Utah State Aggies - UTEP Miners	28:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
16.11.24	Utah State Aggies - Hawaii Warriors	55:10
12.11.22	Hawaii Warriors - Utah State Aggies	34:41
30.10.21	Utah State Aggies - Hawaii Warriors	51:31
03.11.18	Hawaii Warriors - Utah State Aggies	17:56
18.11.17	Utah State Aggies - Hawaii Warriors	38:0
01.11.14	Hawaii Warriors - Utah State Aggies	14:35
02.11.13	Utah State Aggies - Hawaii Warriors	47:10

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