Match Info

NCAA

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Houston Cougars		TCU Horned Frogs

	1	2
	2.05	1.8
	1.86	1.99
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	1.95	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.87)	1.87 (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Houston Cougars
49.1%

TCU Horned Frogs
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houston Cougars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

TCU Horned Frogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Cougars than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TCU Horned Frogs than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Houston Cougars - TCU Horned Frogs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:29

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 14)
03:40, McAlister E. (Touchdown),
03:40, Lingren C. (Extra Point),
13:15, Dwyer J. (Touchdown),
13:15, McCashland N. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (7 - 0)
06:39, Thomas A. (Touchdown),
06:39, Sanchez E. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (7 - 0)
09:19, Connors D. (Touchdown),
09:19, Sanchez E. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (0 - 3)
03:39, McCashland N. (Field Goal),

Preview

Houston is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

TCU's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Houston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Houston will win today's game, with odds of 1.87.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Houston won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 43:55. (average 21.5:27.5).

Including home match between the teams, Houston won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:36.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Houston Cougars football
NCAA College Football
07.11.25	UCF Knights - Houston Cougars	27:30 ✺
01.11.25	Houston Cougars - West Virginia Mountaineers	35:45 ✺
25.10.25	Arizona State Sun Devils - Houston Cougars	16:24 ✺
18.10.25	Houston Cougars - Arizona Wildcats	31:28 ✺
11.10.25	Oklahoma State Cowboys - Houston Cougars	17:39 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWWW
- TCU Horned Frogs football
NCAA College Football
15.11.25	Brigham Young Cougars - TCU Horned Frogs	44:13 ✺
08.11.25	TCU Horned Frogs - Iowa State Cyclones	17:20 ✺
25.10.25	West Virginia Mountaineers - TCU Horned Frogs	17:23 ✺
18.10.25	TCU Horned Frogs - Baylor Bears	42:36 ✺
11.10.25	Kansas State Wildcats - TCU Horned Frogs	41:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
04.10.24	TCU Horned Frogs - Houston Cougars	19:30
16.09.23	Houston Cougars - TCU Horned Frogs	13:36

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