Match Info

USA: NFL - ROUND 4

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday

Location: NRG Stadium (Houston)


	Houston Texans		Pittsburgh Steelers

	1	2
	2.4	1.63	Watch
	2.35	1.62
	2.38	1.61	Watch
	2.35	1.61
	2.37	1.65
	2.4	1.62
	2.26	1.66
	2.26	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.69)	1.62 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 42.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Network on TV: CBS (WKYT ‚Äì Lexington, KY)(Hazard)

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Current Win Probability

Houston Texans
40.9%

Pittsburgh Steelers
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

66.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houston Texans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Houston Texans's performance.

Pittsburgh Steelers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pittsburgh Steelers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Texans than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Houston Texans that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Steelers than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pittsburgh Steelers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.6%	0%	68.4%

Houston Texans - Pittsburgh Steelers Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). Pittsburgh will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pittsburgh: 47.5% – 89.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:23

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 7).

Recent matches Houston is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pittsburgh is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pittsburgh will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Pittsburgh to win the game is with odds 1.63.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Houston won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 50-92.

Including matches at home between the teams Houston won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-34.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Houston Texans
NFL
24.09.23	Jacksonville Jaguars - Houston Texans	17:37 ✺
17.09.23	Houston Texans - Indianapolis Colts	20:31 ✺
10.09.23	Baltimore Ravens - Houston Texans	25:9 ✺
27.08.23	New Orleans Saints - Houston Texans	13:17 ✺
19.08.23	Houston Texans - Miami Dolphins	3:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLLWL
- Pittsburgh Steelers
NFL
24.09.23	Las Vegas Raiders - Pittsburgh Steelers	18:23 ✺
18.09.23	Pittsburgh Steelers - Cleveland Browns	26:22 ✺
10.09.23	Pittsburgh Steelers - San Francisco 49ers	7:30 ✺
24.08.23	Atlanta Falcons - Pittsburgh Steelers	0:24 ✺
19.08.23	Pittsburgh Steelers - Buffalo Bills	27:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
27.09.20	Pittsburgh Steelers - Houston Texans	28:21
25.12.17	Houston Texans - Pittsburgh Steelers	6:34
20.10.14	Pittsburgh Steelers - Houston Texans	30:23

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