Match Info

NFL - Round 17

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Lucas Oil Stadium (Indianapolis, IN)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	DAZN
Croatia	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN
Denmark	DAZN
Finland	DAZN, Ruutu+
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9, DAZN
Hungary	DAZN
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Norway	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN Portugal
Romania	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovenia	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye
Ukraine	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
World	NFL Game Pass


	Indianapolis Colts		Jacksonville Jaguars

	1	2
	2.8	1.45	Watch
	2.67	1.45	Watch
	2.68	1.46	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.74	1.46
	2.85	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (2.91)	1.45 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Indianapolis Colts
34.5%

Jacksonville Jaguars
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

64.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indianapolis Colts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Jacksonville Jaguars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indianapolis Colts than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacksonville Jaguars than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Indianapolis Colts - Jacksonville Jaguars Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jacksonville (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Jacksonville Jaguars will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:27

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (3 - 0)
03:46, Grupe B. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (7 - 7)
02:11, Taylor J. (Touchdown),
02:11, Grupe B. (Extra Point),
09:22, Lawrence T. (Touchdown),
09:22, Little C. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (7 - 10)
07:34, Lawrence T. (Touchdown),
07:34, Little C. (Extra Point),
09:02, Alie-Cox M. (Touchdown),
09:02, Grupe B. (Extra Point),
13:35, Little C. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (0 - 6)
08:02, Little C. (Field Goal),
14:42, Little C. (Field Goal),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indianapolis won 1.

Indianapolis has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Jacksonville is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Jacksonville is the team to beat.

There will not play in Indianapolis: Jones J. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Indianapolis: Buckner D. (Injury)

We predict that Jacksonville will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Indianapolis won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 395:540. (average 19.8:27).

Including home matches between the teams, Indianapolis won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 218:198. (average 24.2:22).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Indianapolis Colts
NFL
22.12.25	Indianapolis Colts - San Francisco 49ers	27:48 ✺
14.12.25	Seattle Seahawks - Indianapolis Colts	18:16 ✺
07.12.25	Jacksonville Jaguars - Indianapolis Colts	36:19 ✺
30.11.25	Indianapolis Colts - Houston Texans	16:20 ✺
23.11.25	Kansas City Chiefs - Indianapolis Colts	23:20 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Jacksonville Jaguars
NFL
21.12.25	Denver Broncos - Jacksonville Jaguars	20:34 ✺
14.12.25	Jacksonville Jaguars - New York Jets	48:20 ✺
07.12.25	Jacksonville Jaguars - Indianapolis Colts	36:19 ✺
30.11.25	Tennessee Titans - Jacksonville Jaguars	3:25 ✺
23.11.25	Arizona Cardinals - Jacksonville Jaguars	24:27 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
07.12.25	Jacksonville Jaguars - Indianapolis Colts	36:19
05.01.25	Indianapolis Colts - Jacksonville Jaguars	26:23 OT
06.10.24	Jacksonville Jaguars - Indianapolis Colts	37:34
15.10.23	Jacksonville Jaguars - Indianapolis Colts	37:20
10.09.23	Indianapolis Colts - Jacksonville Jaguars	21:31
16.10.22	Indianapolis Colts - Jacksonville Jaguars	34:27
18.09.22	Jacksonville Jaguars - Indianapolis Colts	24:0

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