Match Info

Date: 23 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Allegiant Stadium (Paradise)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV2 Sport


	Las Vegas Raiders		Houston Texans

	1	2
	1.31	3.6	Watch
	1.33	3.4
	1.33	3.6
	1.29	3.6
	1.33	3.6
	1.31	3.6	Watch
	1.29	3.7
	1.26	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.32)	3.56 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 46.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

Watch this match and NFL with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: CBS (WSAW - Wausau-Rhinelander, WI)

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Current Win Probability

Las Vegas Raiders
73.1%

Houston Texans
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.4%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Vegas Raiders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Houston Texans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Vegas Raiders than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Las Vegas Raiders that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Texans than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Houston Texans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Las Vegas Raiders - Houston Texans Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Las Vegas will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Houston will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Las Vegas: 52.1% – 90.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:20

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 15).

Las Vegas has a small chance of recordsim. record (7-10), has currently - 1-4, has a chance of playoffs (16%), has a very small chance of win division (3%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (<0.1%), has a very small chance of win league (0.4%).

Houston has a very small chance of recordsim. record (4-12-1), has currently - 1-3-1, has a very small chance of playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of win division (3%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (<0.1%), has a very small chance of win league (<0.1%).

This event has small quality 12, small importance 14, small match rating 13. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Las Vegas is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Las Vegas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 107-127.

Including matches at home between the teams Las Vegas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 41-50.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Las Vegas Raiders
NFL
10.10.22	Kansas City Chiefs - Las Vegas Raiders	30:29 ✺
02.10.22	Las Vegas Raiders - Denver Broncos	32:23 ✺
25.09.22	Tennessee Titans - Las Vegas Raiders	24:22 ✺
18.09.22	Las Vegas Raiders - Arizona Cardinals	23:29 OT ✺
11.09.22	Los Angeles Chargers - Las Vegas Raiders	24:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLLL
- Houston Texans
NFL
09.10.22	Jacksonville Jaguars - Houston Texans	6:13 ✺
02.10.22	Houston Texans - Los Angeles Chargers	24:34 ✺
25.09.22	Chicago Bears - Houston Texans	23:20 ✺
18.09.22	Denver Broncos - Houston Texans	16:9 ✺
11.09.22	Houston Texans - Indianapolis Colts	20:20 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

NFL
27.10.19	Houston Texans - Las Vegas Raiders	27:24
07.01.17	Houston Texans - Las Vegas Raiders	27:14
21.11.16	Las Vegas Raiders - Houston Texans	27:20
14.09.14	Las Vegas Raiders - Houston Texans	14:30
17.11.13	Houston Texans - Las Vegas Raiders	23:28

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