Match Info

USA: NCAA - BOWL

Date: 17 December 2022, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN


	Louisville Cardinals		Cincinnati Bearcats

	1	2
	1.71	2.2
	1.7	2.2
	1.76	2.05
	1.68	2.11
	1.71	2.24
	1.67	2.1
	1.74	2.1
	1.71	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.85)	2.15 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 38.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Louisville Cardinals
55.7%

Cincinnati Bearcats
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louisville Cardinals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Cincinnati Bearcats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville Cardinals than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Louisville Cardinals that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati Bearcats than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cincinnati Bearcats could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Louisville Cardinals - Cincinnati Bearcats Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Louisville will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Louisville: 58.6% – 97%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:18

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Louisville won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 65-55.

Including matches at home between the teams Louisville won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 34-31.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Louisville Cardinals football
NCAA College Football
26.11.22	Kentucky Wildcats - Louisville Cardinals	26:13 ✺
19.11.22	Louisville Cardinals - North Carolina State Wolfpack	25:10 ✺
12.11.22	Clemson Tigers - Louisville Cardinals	31:10 ✺
05.11.22	Louisville Cardinals - James Madison Dukes	34:10 ✺
29.10.22	Louisville Cardinals - Wake Forest Demon Deacons	48:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLWW
- Cincinnati Bearcats football
NCAA College Football
25.11.22	Cincinnati Bearcats - Tulane Green Wave	24:27 ✺
19.11.22	Temple Owls - Cincinnati Bearcats	3:23 ✺
11.11.22	Cincinnati Bearcats - East Carolina Pirates	27:25 ✺
05.11.22	Cincinnati Bearcats - Navy Midshipmen	20:10 ✺
29.10.22	UCF Knights - Cincinnati Bearcats	25:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
05.12.13	Cincinnati Bearcats - Louisville Cardinals	24:31 OT
26.10.12	Louisville Cardinals - Cincinnati Bearcats	34:31 OT

Louisville Cardinals - Cincinnati Bearcats: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide