Match Info

NFL - Round 13

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN
World	NFL Game Pass


	Miami Dolphins		New Orleans Saints

	1	2
	1.38	3.1	Watch
	1.38	2.96	Watch
	1.41	3.13
	1.16	4.91	Watch
	1.41	3
	1.38	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.46)	3.37 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 42.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miami Dolphins
71.3%

New Orleans Saints
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miami Dolphins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miami Dolphins's performance.

New Orleans Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New Orleans Saints might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Dolphins than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miami Dolphins that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Orleans Saints than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New Orleans Saints could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Miami Dolphins - New Orleans Saints Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). New Orleans will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Miami: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Miami (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:19

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 0)
03:41, Achane D. (Touchdown),
03:41, Patterson R. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (9 - 0)
00:47, Patterson R. (Field Goal),
08:50, Patterson R. (Field Goal),
14:58, Patterson R. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (0 - 8)
04:20, Olave C. (Touchdown),
04:20, Shough T. (Two-Point Conversion),
4th Quarter (5 - 9)
05:18, Patterson R. (Field Goal),
08:47, Smyth C. (Field Goal),
13:43, Vele D. (Touchdown),
13:43, (2-Point Conversion Failed),
13:43, Fitzpatrick M. (Defensive 2-Point Conversion),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 15).

Recent performances by Miami have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

New Orleans is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

New Orleans may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Miami is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 77:95. (average 15.4:19).

Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:41. (average 12:20.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miami Dolphins
NFL
16.11.25	Miami Dolphins - Washington Commanders	16:13 OT ✺
09.11.25	Miami Dolphins - Buffalo Bills	30:13 ✺
30.10.25	Miami Dolphins - Baltimore Ravens	6:28 ✺
26.10.25	Atlanta Falcons - Miami Dolphins	10:34 ✺
19.10.25	Cleveland Browns - Miami Dolphins	31:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWLWL
- New Orleans Saints
NFL
23.11.25	New Orleans Saints - Atlanta Falcons	10:24 ✺
09.11.25	Carolina Panthers - New Orleans Saints	7:17 ✺
02.11.25	Los Angeles Rams - New Orleans Saints	34:10 ✺
26.10.25	New Orleans Saints - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	3:23 ✺
19.10.25	Chicago Bears - New Orleans Saints	26:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
27.12.21	New Orleans Saints - Miami Dolphins	3:20
29.08.19	New Orleans Saints - Miami Dolphins	13:16
01.10.17	Miami Dolphins - New Orleans Saints	0:20
30.09.13	New Orleans Saints - Miami Dolphins	38:17
29.08.13	Miami Dolphins - New Orleans Saints	24:21

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