Match Info

Date: 23 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Belgium	Eleven Sports
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	Arena 4
Portugal	Eleven Sports


	Miami Dolphins		Pittsburgh Steelers

	1	2
	1.29	3.7	Watch
	1.28	3.75
	1.3	3.8
	1.27	3.8
	1.29	3.88
	1.3	3.75	Watch
	1.27	3.88
	1.25	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.34)	3.77 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 44.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

Watch this match and NFL with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: NBC Universo

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Current Win Probability

Miami Dolphins
74.6%

Pittsburgh Steelers
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.5%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miami Dolphins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Pittsburgh Steelers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Dolphins than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miami Dolphins that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Steelers than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pittsburgh Steelers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.2%	0%	36.8%

Miami Dolphins - Pittsburgh Steelers Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Pittsburgh will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Miami: 41.5% – 84.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:18

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 14).

Miami has a small chance of recordsim. record (9-8), has currently - 3-3, has a chance of playoffs (50%), has a very small chance of win division (5%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (2%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Pittsburgh has a small chance of recordsim. record (6-11), has currently - 2-4, has a small chance of playoffs (7%), has a very small chance of win division (4%), has a very small chance of 1st-round bye (<0.1%), has a very small chance of win league (<0.1%).

This event has small quality 27, importance 45, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Miami is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pittsburgh is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Miami is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Miami won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 90-100.

Including matches at home between the teams Miami won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 30-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miami Dolphins
NFL
16.10.22	Miami Dolphins - Minnesota Vikings	16:24 ✺
09.10.22	New York Jets - Miami Dolphins	40:17 ✺
29.09.22	Cincinnati Bengals - Miami Dolphins	27:15 ✺
25.09.22	Miami Dolphins - Buffalo Bills	21:19 ✺
18.09.22	Baltimore Ravens - Miami Dolphins	38:42 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLLWW
- Pittsburgh Steelers
NFL
16.10.22	Pittsburgh Steelers - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	20:18 ✺
09.10.22	Buffalo Bills - Pittsburgh Steelers	38:3 ✺
02.10.22	Pittsburgh Steelers - New York Jets	20:24 ✺
22.09.22	Cleveland Browns - Pittsburgh Steelers	29:17 ✺
18.09.22	Pittsburgh Steelers - New England Patriots	14:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
28.10.19	Pittsburgh Steelers - Miami Dolphins	27:14
08.01.17	Pittsburgh Steelers - Miami Dolphins	30:12
16.10.16	Miami Dolphins - Pittsburgh Steelers	30:15
08.12.13	Pittsburgh Steelers - Miami Dolphins	28:34

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