Match Info

NCAA

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Michigan State Spartans		Penn State Nittany Lions

	1	2
	3.1	1.38
	3.13	1.34
	3.18	1.39
	3.45	1.28	Watch
	3.05	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↓ (3.45)	1.35 ↑ (1.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michigan State Spartans
29.8%

Penn State Nittany Lions
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

72.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michigan State Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Penn State Nittany Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Michigan State Spartans - Penn State Nittany Lions Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Michigan State (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -5.5, OT - Penn State (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Michigan State (votes: 1 - 50%). Penn State (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:28

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 7)
02:14, Tau-Tolliver E. (Touchdown),
02:14, Connington M. (Extra Point),
09:10, Allen K. (Touchdown),
09:10, Barker R. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (3 - 7)
06:20, Connington M. (Field Goal),
06:30, Ross D. (Touchdown),
06:30, Barker R. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (0 - 0)
4th Quarter (0 - 14)
10:28, Ross D. (Touchdown),
10:28, Barker R. (Extra Point),
12:53, Allen K. (Touchdown),
12:53, Barker R. (Extra Point),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Michigan State won 1.

Both teams are on a losing streak in recent matches.

Penn State may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Penn State is a strong favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Michigan State won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 226:283. (average 20.5:25.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Michigan State won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 119:137. (average 19.8:22.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michigan State Spartans football
NCAA College Football
01.11.25	Minnesota Golden Gophers - Michigan State Spartans	23:20 OT ✺
25.10.25	Michigan State Spartans - Michigan Wolverines	20:31 ✺
18.10.25	Indiana Hoosiers - Michigan State Spartans	38:13 ✺
11.10.25	Michigan State Spartans - UCLA Bruins	13:38 ✺
04.10.25	Nebraska Cornhuskers - Michigan State Spartans	38:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Penn State Nittany Lions football
NCAA College Football
08.11.25	Penn State Nittany Lions - Indiana Hoosiers	24:27 ✺
01.11.25	Ohio State Buckeyes - Penn State Nittany Lions	38:14 ✺
18.10.25	Iowa Hawkeyes - Penn State Nittany Lions	25:24 ✺
11.10.25	Penn State Nittany Lions - Northwestern Wildcats	21:22 ✺
04.10.25	UCLA Bruins - Penn State Nittany Lions	42:37 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
24.11.23	Michigan State Spartans - Penn State Nittany Lions	0:42
26.11.22	Penn State Nittany Lions - Michigan State Spartans	35:16
27.11.21	Michigan State Spartans - Penn State Nittany Lions	30:27
12.12.20	Penn State Nittany Lions - Michigan State Spartans	39:24
26.10.19	Michigan State Spartans - Penn State Nittany Lions	7:28
13.10.18	Penn State Nittany Lions - Michigan State Spartans	17:21
04.11.17	Michigan State Spartans - Penn State Nittany Lions	27:24

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