Match Info

NFL - Round 5

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Gillette Stadium (Foxborough, MA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil, SporTV 2
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN
Denmark	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN
Italy	DAZN Italia
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
Netherlands	ESPN 3
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Romania	DAZN
Russia	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovenia	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Ukraine	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Usa	ABC, CBS, ESPN Deportes
World	NFL Game Pass


	New England Patriots		Las Vegas Raiders

	1	2
	1.53	2.58	Watch
	1.5	2.6
	1.55	2.62
	1.49	2.63	Watch
	1.52	2.55
	1.54	2.55
	1.52	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.51)	2.58 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New England Patriots
62.9%

Las Vegas Raiders
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New England Patriots has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Las Vegas Raiders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Patriots than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Raiders than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

New England Patriots - Las Vegas Raiders Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. New England will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Las Vegas will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Las Vegas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5, OT - Las Vegas (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Las Vegas (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:21

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Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 10th and 3rd).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New England won 1.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Recently, New England has faced a series of away games on the road.

New England is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, New England has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 145:131 (averaging 20.7:18.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for New England against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 65:49 goals (averaging 21.7:16.3 per game).

Outrights of NFL for now

New England Patriots: 2.7% Las Vegas Raiders: 1.1%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New England Patriots
NFL
04.10.26	Buffalo Bills - New England Patriots	26:29 ✺
27.09.26	Jacksonville Jaguars - New England Patriots	35:6 ✺
20.09.26	New England Patriots - Pittsburgh Steelers	20:3 ✺
09.09.26	Seattle Seahawks - New England Patriots	13:10 ✺
27.08.26	Cleveland Browns - New England Patriots	37:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWLL
- Las Vegas Raiders
NFL
04.10.26	Las Vegas Raiders - Kansas City Chiefs	27:30 ✺
27.09.26	New Orleans Saints - Las Vegas Raiders	27:35 ✺
20.09.26	Los Angeles Chargers - Las Vegas Raiders	14:26 ✺
13.09.26	Las Vegas Raiders - Miami Dolphins	27:13 ✺
27.08.26	Las Vegas Raiders - San Francisco 49ers	12:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
07.09.25	New England Patriots - Las Vegas Raiders	13:20
15.10.23	Las Vegas Raiders - New England Patriots	21:17
18.12.22	Las Vegas Raiders - New England Patriots	30:24
26.08.22	Las Vegas Raiders - New England Patriots	23:6
27.09.20	New England Patriots - Las Vegas Raiders	36:20
19.11.17	Las Vegas Raiders - New England Patriots	8:33
21.09.14	New England Patriots - Las Vegas Raiders	16:9

New England Patriots - Las Vegas Raiders: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide