Match Info

USA: NFL - Round 11

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Gillette Stadium (Foxborough, MA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Hungary	Net4+
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN NFL
Usa	NFL Game Pass


	New England Patriots		Los Angeles Rams

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.48
	2.74	1.48	Watch
	2.74	1.51
	2.66	1.48	Watch
	2.8	1.48
	2.75	1.48
	2.74	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (3.33)	1.48 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 43.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

Watch this match and NFL with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX (WPFO-Portland, ME)

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Current Win Probability

New England Patriots
35.1%

Los Angeles Rams
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

71%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

72.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New England Patriots has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New England Patriots's performance.

Los Angeles Rams has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Los Angeles Rams might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Patriots than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New England Patriots that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Rams than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Los Angeles Rams could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

New England Patriots - Los Angeles Rams Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. New England will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). LA Rams will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for LA Rams: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:24

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 0)
09:55, Bourne K. (Touchdown),
09:55, Slye J. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (3 - 14)
07:42, Kupp C. (Touchdown),
07:42, Karty J. (Extra Point),
09:15, Nacua P. (Touchdown),
09:15, Karty J. (Extra Point),
13:05, Slye J. (Field Goal),
14:57, Karty J. (Missed Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (3 - 14)
00:50, Kupp C. (Touchdown),
00:50, Karty J. (Extra Point),
07:52, Slye J. (Field Goal),
11:30, Parkinson C. (Touchdown),
11:30, Karty J. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (9 - 0)
02:15, Lowe V. (Touchdown),
02:15, Slye J. (Missed Extra Point),
10:03, Slye J. (Field Goal),

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 11).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently LA Rams have a series of home games.

LA Rams will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches New England won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 87:44 (average 21.8:11).

Including matches at home between the teams New England won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 26:10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New England Patriots
NFL
10.11.24	Chicago Bears - New England Patriots	3:19 ✺
03.11.24	Tennessee Titans - New England Patriots	20:17 OT ✺
27.10.24	New England Patriots - New York Jets	25:22 ✺
20.10.24	Jacksonville Jaguars - New England Patriots	32:16 ✺
13.10.24	New England Patriots - Houston Texans	21:41 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLWLL
- Los Angeles Rams
NFL
11.11.24	Los Angeles Rams - Miami Dolphins	15:23 ✺
03.11.24	Seattle Seahawks - Los Angeles Rams	20:26 OT ✺
24.10.24	Los Angeles Rams - Minnesota Vikings	30:20 ✺
20.10.24	Los Angeles Rams - Las Vegas Raiders	20:15 ✺
06.10.24	Los Angeles Rams - Green Bay Packers	19:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
10.12.20	Los Angeles Rams - New England Patriots	24:3
03.02.19	Los Angeles Rams - New England Patriots	3:13
04.12.16	New England Patriots - Los Angeles Rams	26:10
28.10.12	Los Angeles Rams - New England Patriots	7:45

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